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Introduction | |
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Reality, the intersection of multiple theories | |
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Efficient market hypothesis | |
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The theory of chaos | |
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Behavioral market theory | |
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The dynamics of crowd behavior | |
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Methodologies for the study of markets | |
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The system theory point of view | |
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The exchange of energy and information | |
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The crowd's life cycle | |
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Unexpected events and shocks | |
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Generalized turnover patterns | |
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Generalized pro-trend patterns | |
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The wave principle | |
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The hierarchical organization of Elliott waves | |
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The direction of waves | |
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The mode of waves | |
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The hierarchy of complete cycles | |
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Variations of motive waves | |
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The principle of alternation | |
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Fibonacci mathematics in financial markets | |
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The golden ratio | |
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The golden rectangle and golden spiral | |
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The application of Fibonacci numbers in financial markets | |
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Security exchanges at a glance | |
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Financial markets | |
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Security exchanges | |
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Entities participating in markets | |
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Order-driven and quote-driven markets | |
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World's largest and most long-standing security exchanges | |
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Types of orders | |
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Pit trading versus electronic trading | |
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Exchange clearing systems | |
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Basic tenets of automated trading | |
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Indicators and oscillators | |
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Moving averages | |
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Average directional index | |
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Average true range | |
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Relative strength index | |
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Bollinger bands | |
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Money management | |
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Statistics | |
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The sensitivity to changes of parameters | |
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Simulation and backtesting of trading strategies | |
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The value of simulation in trading | |
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Human factor in the trading chain | |
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Modeling of intra-bar price movements | |
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Modeling of order execution | |
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Modeling of time and price skews | |
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Discrete Event System Specification | |
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DEVS formalism | |
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Simulators and coordinators for DEVS | |
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Simulation of the trading environment | |
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The data provider component | |
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The delay component | |
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The order execution component | |
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The ATS component | |
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The parallel run of multiple trades | |
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Embedding trading strategies into the simulation | |
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Simulation case study | |
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Optimization of trading strategies | |
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Parametric trading strategies | |
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Choosing an appropriate fitness function | |
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Parametric surface | |
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Exhaustive search | |
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Genetic algorithms | |
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Inspiration from nature | |
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Computational model of genetic evolution | |
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Optimization case study | |
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Fuzzy approach to trading strategies | |
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Concept of uncertainty and the basics of fuzzy logic theory | |
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Linguistic variables and fuzzy sets | |
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Fuzzy logic and fuzzy inference | |
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Fuzzification | |
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Inference engine and evaluation of rules | |
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Defuzzification | |
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Fuzzy-based trading strategies | |
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Triple Screen Trading System | |
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Fuzzy approach to the Triple Screen Trading System | |
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Analysis of sensitivity and robustness | |
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Sensitivity analysis of the whole market system | |
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Sensitivity analysis of the signaling system | |
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Case study | |
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Summary | |
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Bibliography and further reading | |
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Notations, functions and mathematical symbols | |