Future Trends from Past Cycles Identifying Share Price Trends and Turning Points Through Cycle, Channel and Probability Analysis

Name: Future Trends from Past Cycles Identifying Share Price Trends and Turning Points Through Cycle, Channel and Probability Analysis
Price: 37.21 USD
Availability: InStock
ISBN: 9781871857047

ISBN-10: 187185704X

ISBN-13: 9781871857047

Edition: 2010

Authors: Brian Millard

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Book details

Copyright year: 2010
Publisher: Harriman House Publishing
Publication date: 9/10/2010
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 304
Size: 7.00" wide x 10.00" long x 0.73" tall
Weight: 1.188
Language: English



List of Figures


List of Tables


Introduction


Definition of a Trend


Definition of a Cycle


Determining Trends


Risk and the Markets


Sources of Risk


How Prices Move (I)


Coin Tossing


Rising and Falling Trends


How Prices Move (II)


The Normal Distribution


Simulating Future Movement


Monte Carlo Simulation


Cycles and the Market


Properties of Sine Waves


Cycles in the Stock Market


Research on Market Cycles


Trends and the Market


Mathematical Trends


Extrapolating a trend line


Properties of Moving Averages


Calculation of Moving Averages


Averages as Proxies for Trends


Probabilities From Centred Averages


Boundaries and Channels


Trend Turning Points (I)


Short-term Trends


Trend Turning Points (II)


Estimation of Channel Direction


Trend Turning Points (III)


Why Does Channel Analysis Work?


Cycles and Sums of Cycles


Extrapolation of Cycles


The Comparator


Failure of Extrapolations


Bringing it All Together


Four Key Steps


Conclusion