| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial dependence | |
| |
| |
| |
The spatial autoregressive process | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial autoregressive data generating process | |
| |
| |
| |
An illustration of spatial spillovers | |
| |
| |
| |
The role of spatial econometric models | |
| |
| |
| |
The plan of the text | |
| |
| |
| |
Motivating and Interpreting Spatial Econometric Models | |
| |
| |
| |
A time-dependence motivation | |
| |
| |
| |
An omitted variables motivation | |
| |
| |
| |
A spatial heterogeneity motivation | |
| |
| |
| |
An externalities-based motivation | |
| |
| |
| |
A model uncertainty motivation | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial autoregressive regression models | |
| |
| |
| |
Interpreting parameter estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Direct and indirect impacts in theory | |
| |
| |
| |
Calculating summary measures of impacts | |
| |
| |
| |
Measures of dispersion for the impact estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Partitioning the impacts by order of neighbors | |
| |
| |
| |
Simplified alternatives to the impact calculations | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Maximum Likelihood Estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
Model estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
SAR and SDM model estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
SEM model estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
Estimates for models with two weight matrices | |
| |
| |
| |
Estimates of dispersion for the parameters | |
| |
| |
| |
A mixed analytical-numerical Hessian calculation | |
| |
| |
| |
A comparison of Hessian calculations | |
| |
| |
| |
Omitted variables with spatial dependence | |
| |
| |
| |
A Hausman test for OLS and SEM estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Omitted variables bias of least-squares | |
| |
| |
| |
Omitted variables bias for spatial regressions | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied example | |
| |
| |
| |
Coefficient estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Cumulative effects estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial partitioning of the impact estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
A comparison of impacts from different models | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Log-determinants and Spatial Weights | |
| |
| |
| |
Determinants and transformations | |
| |
| |
| |
Basic determinant computation | |
| |
| |
| |
Determinants of spatial systems | |
| |
| |
| |
Scalings and similarity transformations | |
| |
| |
| |
Determinant domain | |
| |
| |
| |
Special cases | |
| |
| |
| |
Monte Carlo approximation of the log-determinant | |
| |
| |
| |
Sensitivity of � estimates to approximation | |
| |
| |
| |
Chebyshev approximation | |
| |
| |
| |
Extrapolation | |
| |
| |
| |
Determinant bounds | |
| |
| |
| |
Inverses and other functions | |
| |
| |
| |
Expressions for interpretation of spatial models | |
| |
| |
| |
Closed-form solutions for single parameter spatial models | |
| |
| |
| |
Forming spatial weights | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayesian Spatial Econometric Models | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayesian methodology | |
| |
| |
| |
Conventional Bayesian treatment of the SAR model | |
| |
| |
| |
Analytical approaches to the Bayesian method | |
| |
| |
| |
Analytical solution of the Bayesian spatial model | |
| |
| |
| |
MCMC estimation of Bayesian spatial models | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling conditional distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling for the parameter � | |
| |
| |
| |
The MCMC algorithm | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied illustration | |
| |
| |
| |
Uses for Bayesian spatial models | |
| |
| |
| |
Robust heteroscedastic spatial regression | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial effects estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Models with multiple weight matrices | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Model Comparison | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparison of spatial and non-spatial models | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied example of model comparison | |
| |
| |
| |
The data sample used | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparing models with different weight matrices | |
| |
| |
| |
A test for dependence in technical knowledge | |
| |
| |
| |
A test of the common factor restriction | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial effects estimates | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayesian model comparison | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparing models based on different weights | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparing models based on different variables | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied illustration of model comparison | |
| |
| |
| |
An illustration of MC<sup>3</sup> and model averaging | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter appendix | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatiotemporal and Spatial Models | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatiotemporal partial adjustment model | |
| |
| |
| |
Relation between spatiotemporal and SAR models | |
| |
| |
| |
Relation between spatiotemporal and SEM models | |
| |
| |
| |
Covariance matrices | |
| |
| |
| |
Monte Carlo experiment | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial econometric and statistical models | |
| |
| |
| |
Patterns of temporal and spatial dependence | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial Econometric Interaction Models | |
| |
| |
| |
Interregional flows in a spatial regression context | |
| |
| |
| |
Maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
Application of the spatial econometric interaction model | |
| |
| |
| |
Extending the spatial econometric interaction model | |
| |
| |
| |
Adjusting spatial weights using prior knowledge | |
| |
| |
| |
Adjustments to address the zero flow problem | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatially structured multilateral resistance effects | |
| |
| |
| |
Flows as a rare event | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Matrix Exponential Spatial Models | |
| |
| |
| |
The MESS model | |
| |
| |
| |
The matrix exponential | |
| |
| |
| |
Maximum likelihood estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
A closed form solution for the parameters | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied illustration | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial error models using MESS | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial model Monte Carlo experiments | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied illustration | |
| |
| |
| |
A Bayesian version of the model | |
| |
| |
| |
The posterior for � | |
| |
| |
| |
The posterior for � | |
| |
| |
| |
Applied illustrations | |
| |
| |
| |
Extensions of the model | |
| |
| |
| |
More flexible weights | |
| |
| |
| |
MCMC estimation | |
| |
| |
| |
MCMC estimation of the model | |
| |
| |
| |
The conditional distributions for �, � and V | |
| |
| |
| |
Computational considerations | |
| |
| |
| |
An illustration of the extended model | |
| |
| |
| |
Fractional differencing | |
| |
| |
| |
Empirical illustrations | |
| |
| |
| |
Computational considerations | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Limited Dependent Variable Spatial Models | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayesian latent variable treatment | |
| |
| |
| |
The SAR probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
An MCMC sampler for the SAR probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
Gibbs sampling the conditional distribution for y* | |
| |
| |
| |
Some observations regarding implementation | |
| |
| |
| |
Applied illustrations of the spatial probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
Marginal effects for the spatial probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
The ordered spatial probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatial Tobit models | |
| |
| |
| |
An example of the spatial Tobit model | |
| |
| |
| |
The multinomial spatial probit model | |
| |
| |
| |
The MCMC sampler for the SAR MNP model | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling for � and � | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling for � | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling for &ytilde;* | |
| |
| |
| |
An applied illustration of spatial MNP | |
| |
| |
| |
Effects estimates for the spatial MNP model | |
| |
| |
| |
Spatially structured effects probit models | |
| |
| |
| |
Chapter summary | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
Index | |