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Statistical Preliminaries | |
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Common Models | |
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Exponential Families | |
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Location-Scale Families | |
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Regular Family | |
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Likelihood Function | |
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Sufficient Statistics and Ancillary Statistics | |
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Three Basic Problems of Inference in Classical Statistics | |
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Point Estimates | |
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Testing Hypotheses | |
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Interval Estimation | |
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Inference as a Statistical Decision Problem | |
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The Changing Face of Classical Inference | |
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Exercises | |
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Bayesian Inference and Decision Theory | |
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Subjective and Frequentist Probability | |
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Bayesian Inference | |
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Advantages of Being a Bayesian | |
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Paradoxes in Classical Statistics | |
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Elements of Bayesian Decision Theory | |
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Improper Priors | |
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Common Problems of Bayesian Inference | |
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Point Estimates | |
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Testing | |
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Credible Intervals | |
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Testing of a Sharp Null Hypothesis Through Credible Intervals | |
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Prediction of a Future Observation | |
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Examples of Cox and Welch Revisited | |
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Elimination of Nuisance Parameters | |
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A High-dimensional Example | |
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Exchangeability | |
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Normative and Descriptive Aspects of Bayesian Analysis, Elicitation of Probability | |
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Objective Priors and Objective Bayesian Analysis | |
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Other Paradigms | |
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Remarks | |
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Exercises | |
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Utility, Prior, and Bayesian Robustness | |
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Utility, Prior, and Rational Preference | |
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Utility and Loss | |
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Rationality Axioms Leading to the Bayesian Approach | |
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Coherence | |
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Bayesian Analysis with Subjective Prior | |
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Robustness and Sensitivity | |
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Classes of Priors | |
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Conjugate Class | |
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Neighborhood Class | |
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Density Ratio Class | |
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Posterior Robustness: Measures and Techniques | |
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Global Measures of Sensitivity | |
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Belief Functions | |
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Interactive Robust Bayesian Analysis | |
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Other Global Measures | |
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Local Measures of Sensitivity | |
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Inherently Robust Procedures | |
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Loss Robustness | |
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Model Robustness | |
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Exercises | |
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Large Sample Methods | |
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Limit of Posterior Distribution | |
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Consistency of Posterior Distribution | |
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Asymptotic Normality of Posterior Distribution | |
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Asymptotic Expansion of Posterior Distribution | |
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Determination of Sample Size in Testing | |
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Laplace Approximation | |
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Laplace's Method | |
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Tierney-Kadane-Kass Refinements | |
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Exercises | |
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Choice of Priors for Low-dimensional Parameters | |
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Different Methods of Construction of Objective Priors | |
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Uniform Distribution and Its Criticisms | |
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Jeffreys Prior as a Uniform Distribution | |
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Jeffreys Prior as a Minimizer of Information | |
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Jeffreys Prior as a Probability Matching Prior | |
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Conjugate Priors and Mixtures | |
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Invariant Objective Priors for Location-Scale Families | |
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Left and Right Invariant Priors | |
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Properties of the Right Invariant Prior for Location-Scale Families | |
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General Group Families | |
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Reference Priors | |
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Reference Priors Without Entropy Maximization | |
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Objective Priors with Partial Information | |
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Discussion of Objective Priors | |
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Exchangeability | |
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Elicitation of Hyperparameters for Prior | |
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A New Objective Bayes Methodology Using Correlation | |
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Exercises | |
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Hypothesis Testing and Model Selection | |
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Preliminaries | |
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BIC Revisited | |
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P-value and Posterior Probability of H[subscript 0] as Measures of Evidence Against the Null | |
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Bounds on Bayes Factors and Posterior Probabilities | |
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Introduction | |
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Choice of Classes of Priors | |
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Multiparameter Problems | |
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Invariant Tests | |
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Interval Null Hypotheses and One-sided Tests | |
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Role of the Choice of an Asymptotic Framework | |
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Comparison of Decisions via P-values and Bayes Factors in Bahadur's Asymptotics | |
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Pitman Alternative and Rescaled Priors | |
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Bayesian P-value | |
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Robust Bayesian Outlier Detection | |
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Nonsubjective Bayes Factors | |
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The Intrinsic Bayes Factor | |
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The Fractional Bayes Factor | |
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Intrinsic Priors | |
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Exercises | |
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Bayesian Computations | |
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Analytic Approximation | |
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The E-M Algorithm | |
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Monte Carlo Sampling | |
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods | |
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Introduction | |
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Markov Chains in MCMC | |
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Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm | |
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Gibbs Sampling | |
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Rao-Blackwellization | |
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Examples | |
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Convergence Issues | |
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Exercises | |
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Some Common Problems in Inference | |
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Comparing Two Normal Means | |
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Linear Regression | |
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Logit Model, Probit Model, and Logistic Regression | |
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The Logit Model | |
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The Probit Model | |
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Exercises | |
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High-dimensional Problems | |
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Exchangeability, Hierarchical Priors, Approximation to Posterior for Large p, and MCMC | |
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MCMC and E-M Algorithm | |
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Parametric Empirical Bayes | |
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PEB and HB Interval Estimates | |
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Linear Models for High-dimensional Parameters | |
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Stein's Frequentist Approach to a High-dimensional Problem | |
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Comparison of High-dimensional and Low-dimensional Problems | |
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High-dimensional Multiple Testing (PEB) | |
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Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Multiple Testing | |
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False Discovery Rate (FDR) | |
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Testing of a High-dimensional Null as a Model Selection Problem | |
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High-dimensional Estimation and Prediction Based on Model Selection or Model Averaging | |
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Discussion | |
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Exercises | |
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Some Applications | |
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Disease Mapping | |
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Bayesian Nonparametric Regression Using Wavelets | |
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A Brief Overview of Wavelets | |
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Hierarchical Prior Structure and Posterior Computations | |
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Estimation of Regression Function Using Dirichlet Multinomial Allocation | |
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Exercises | |
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Common Statistical Densities | |
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Continuous Models | |
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Discrete Models | |
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Birnbaum's Theorem on Likelihood Principle | |
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Coherence | |
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Microarray | |
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Bayes Sufficiency | |
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References | |
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Author Index | |
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Subject Index | |