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Acknowledgments | |
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Foreword | |
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Preface | |
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Introduction | |
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The philosophy of evidence-based medicine | |
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What on earth was medicine based on before evidence-based medicine? | |
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Scope of the book | |
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How the claims of EBM will be examined | |
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Structure of what is to come | |
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What is EBM? | |
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EBM as a self-proclaimed Kuhnian paradigm | |
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The motivation for the birth of EBM: a sketch | |
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Original definition of EBM | |
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Reaction to criticism of the EBM system of evidence: more subtle, more or less the same | |
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What is good evidence for a clinical decision? | |
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Introduction | |
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Evidence for clinical effectiveness | |
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Strong evidence tells us what? | |
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Do randomization, double masking, and placebo controls rule out more confounding factors than their alternatives? | |
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Ruling out plausible rival hypotheses and confounding factors: a method | |
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Resolving the paradox of effectiveness: when do observational studies offer the same degree of evidential support as randomized trials? | |
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The paradox of effectiveness | |
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Observational studies: definition and problems | |
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Randomized trials to the rescue | |
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Defending the EBM view that randomized trials provide better evidence than observational studies | |
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Overcoming the paradox of effectiveness | |
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Conclusion: a more subtle way to distinguish between high- and low-quality comparative clinical studies | |
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types of restricted randomization | |
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Worrall's arguments that randomization is required for classical hypothesis testing and establishing probabilistic causes | |
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Questioning double blinding as a universal methodological virtue of clinical trials: resolving the Philip's paradox | |
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The problems with double masking as a requirement for clinical trial validity | |
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The many faces of double masking: clarifying the terminology | |
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Confounders that arise from participant and caregiver knowledge | |
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The importance of successful double masking | |
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One (and a half) solutions to the Philip's paradox | |
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The full solution to the Philip's paradox: challenging the view that double masking rules out confounding factors when treatments are evidently dramatic | |
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Double masking is valuable unless the treatment effects are evidently dramatic, hence the Philip's paradox does not arise | |
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Placebo controls: problematic and misleading baseline measures of effectiveness | |
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The need to control the placebo | |
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Legitimate placebo controls | |
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How placebo controls often violate the first condition for legitimacy | |
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How placebo controls often violate the second condition for legitimacy | |
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Special problem for constructing placebos for complex treatments: case studies of exercise and acupuncture | |
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Summary and solution to the problem with illegitimate placebo controls | |
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Questioning the methodological superiority of "placebo" over "active" controlled trials | |
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Epistemological foundations of the ethical debate over the use of placebo-controlled trials | |
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Problems with the assay sensitivity arguments against ACTs | |
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Problems with the first assay sensitivity argument against ACTs | |
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The second assay sensitivity argument | |
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Challenging the view that PCTs provide a measure of absolute effect size | |
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Questioning the claim that PCTs require smaller sample sizes | |
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Conclusion: a reassessment of the relative methodological quality of PCTs | |
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Appendix: more detailed explanation of why the second assay sensitivity argument fails | |
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Examining the paradox that traditional roles for mechanistic reasoning and expert judgment have been up-ended by EBM | |
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Transition to Part III | |
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Summary of Part II | |
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Introduction to Part III | |
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A qualified defence of the EBM stance on mechanistic reasoning | |
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A tension between proponents of mechanistic reasoning and EBM views | |
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Clarifying the terminology: comparative clinical studies, mechanisms, and mechanistic reasoning | |
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Why the strong view that mechanistic reasoning is necessary to establish causal claims is mistaken | |
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Two epistemological problems with mechanistic reasoning | |
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Why EBM proponents should allow a more prominent role for high-quality (valid and based on "complete" mechanisms) mechanistic reasoning in their evidence hierarchies | |
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Mechanisms and other roles in clinical medicine | |
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Recommending a (slightly) more important role for mechanistic reasoning in the EBM system | |
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Appendix: cases where mechanistic reasoning led to the adoption of therapies that were either useless or harmful according to well-conducted clinical research | |
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Knowledge that versus knowledge how: situating the EBM position on expert clinical judgment | |
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Controversies surrounding the EBM stance on expert clinical judgement | |
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General clinical judgment belongs at the bottom of (or off) the hierarchy of evidence | |
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Individual clinical judgment also belongs at the bottom of the hierarchy | |
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The equally important non-evidential roles of expertise | |
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Conclusion | |
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Conclusions | |
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Moving EBM forward | |
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Summary of findings: the EBM philosophy is acceptable, but. . . | |
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Two new frontiers for EBM | |
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References | |
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Index | |