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PREFACE | |
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Introduction | |
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About Econometrics | |
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The Structure of this Book | |
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Illustrations and Exercises | |
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An Introduction to Linear Regression | |
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Ordinary Least Squares as an Algebraic Tool | |
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The Linear Regression Model | |
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Small Sample Properties of the OLS Estimator | |
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Goodness-of-fit | |
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Hypothesis Testing | |
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Asymptotic Properties of the OLS Estimator | |
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Illustration: The Capital Asset Pricing Model | |
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Multicollinearity | |
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Missing Data, Outliers and Influential Observations | |
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Prediction | |
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Interpreting and Comparing Regression Models | |
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Interpreting the Linear Model | |
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Selecting the Set of Regressors | |
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Misspecifying the Functional Form | |
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Illustration: Explaining House Prices | |
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Illustration: Predicting Stock Index Returns | |
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Illustration: Explaining Individual Wages | |
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Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation | |
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Consequences for the OLS Estimator | |
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Deriving an Alternative Estimator | |
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Heteroskedasticity | |
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Testing for Heteroskedasticity | |
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Illustration: Explaining Labour Demand | |
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Autocorrelation | |
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Testing for First-order Autocorrelation | |
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Illustration: The Demand for Ice Cream | |
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Alternative Autocorrelation Patterns | |
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What to do When you Find Autocorrelation? | |
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Illustration: Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange Markets | |
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Endogenous Regressors, Instrumental Variables and GMM | |
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A Review of the Properties of the OLS Estimator | |
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Cases Where the OLS Estimator Cannot be Saved | |
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The Instrumental Variables Estimator | |
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Illustration: Estimating the Returns to Schooling | |
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The Generalized Instrumental Variables Estimator | |
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The Generalized Method of Moments | |
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Illustration: Estimating Intertemporal Asset Pricing Models | |
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Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Specification Tests | |
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An Introduction to Maximum Likelihood | |
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Specification Tests | |
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Tests in the Normal Linear Regression Model | |
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Quasi-maximum Likelihood and Moment Conditions Tests | |
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Models with Limited Dependent Variables | |
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Binary Choice Models | |
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Models for Count Data | |
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Tobit Models | |
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Extensions of Tobit Models | |
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Sample Selection Bias | |
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Estimating Treatment Effects | |
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Duration Models | |
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Univariate Time Series Models | |
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Introduction | |
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General ARMA Processes | |
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Stationarity and Unit Roots | |
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Testing for Unit Roots | |
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Illustration: Long-run Purchasing Power Parity (Part 1) | |
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Estimation of ARMA Models | |
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Choosing a Model | |
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Illustration: The Persistence of Inflation | |
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Predicting with ARMA Models | |
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Illustration: The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure | |
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Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity | |
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What about Multivariate Models? | |
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Multivariate Time Series Models | |
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Dynamic Models with Stationary Variables | |
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Models with Nonstationary Variables | |
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Illustration: Long-run Purchasing Power Parity (Part 2) | |
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Vector Autoregressive Models | |
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Cointegration: the Multivariate Case | |
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Illustration: Money Demand and Inflation | |
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Models Based on Panel Data | |
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Introduction to Panel Data Modelling | |
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The Static Linear Model | |
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Illustration: Explaining Individual Wages | |
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Dynamic Linear Models | |
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Illustration: Explaining Capital Structure | |
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Panel Time Series | |
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Models with Limited Dependent Variables | |
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Incomplete Panels and Selection Bias | |
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Pseudo Panels and Repeated Cross-Sections | |
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Vectors and Matrices | |
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Terminology | |
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Matrix Manipulations | |
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Properties of Matrices and Vectors | |
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Inverse Matrices | |
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Idempotent Matrices | |
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Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors | |
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Differentiation | |
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Some Least Squares Manipulations | |
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Statistical and Distribution Theory | |
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Discrete Random Variables | |
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Continuous Random Variables | |
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Expectations and Moments | |
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Multivariate Distributions | |
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Conditional Distributions | |
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The Normal Distribution | |
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Related Distributions | |
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Bibliography | |
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Index | |