Calculated Risks How to Know When Numbers Deceive You

Name: Calculated Risks How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
Price: 5.6 USD
Availability: InStock
ISBN: 9780743254236

ISBN-10: 0743254236

ISBN-13: 9780743254236

Edition: 2003

Authors: Gerd Gigerenzer

List price: $21.95

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Description:

At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics.…

Book details

List price: $21.95
Copyright year: 2003
Publisher: Simon & Schuster
Publication date: 3/19/2003
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 320
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 1.10" tall
Weight: 0.748
Language: English

Gerd Gigerenzer is Director at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin. He is the author of Calculated Risks, among other books, and the coeditor of Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox and Heuristics and the Law, both published by the MIT Press.



Acknowledgments



Dare to Know



Uncertainty



The Illusion of Certainty



Innumeracy



Insight



Understanding Uncertainties in the Real World



Breast Cancer Screening



(Un)Informed Consent



AIDS Counseling



Wife Battering



Experts on Trial



DNA Fingerprinting



Violent People



From Innumeracy to Insight



How Innumeracy Can Be Exploited



Fun Problems



Teaching Clear Thinking


Glossary


Notes


References


Index