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Art of Decision Making Mirrors of Imagination, Masks of Fate

ISBN-10: 0471497185

ISBN-13: 9780471497189

Edition: 2001

Authors: Helga Drummond

List price: $90.00
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Description:

Presenting a holistic insight into the nature of risk and decision making, this volume sheds light on the reasons why the outcome of so many high profile cases and policy failures could have been different.
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Book details

List price: $90.00
Copyright year: 2001
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated
Publication date: 8/30/2001
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 324
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 1.298
Language: English

HELGA DRUMMOND is Professor of Decision Sciences at the University of Liverpool, UK. She has consulted for a multitude of businesses ranging from undertakers to IT managers - a dversity reflected in The Art of Decision Making - and is the author of seven previous books that have been translated worldwide.

Acknowledgements
Introduction
The questions
Ambiguity lurks
The imagined world
The rutted road
Shifting tides
The ripening of events
'All is human'
Are you competent or lucky?
The Clock That Struck Thirteen: The Challenge of Sense Making
'Two dead fish'
Hanged in the middle of the play
The clock that struck twelve?
The clock that really did strike thirteen
The perils of experience
Turning a drama into a crisis
'It can't be'
The Morning After
The lantern and the mirror
'Oh what have you done?'
Rolls meets Royce
Divorce your husband without him noticing
Sentence first, verdict later
The ghosts of Christmas
The magnolia years
The lantern flickers
The Dark Side of the Moon
An imagined world
Received images
The dark side of the moon
Love is like ...?
Hidden possibilities
From hell
Strangled by a dish of eels
All that jazz
Ghosts and Shadows: Reflections on Information and Decision Making
Green light spells danger
Do you understand?
Painting God
Creating confusion
Ghosts and shadows
Tricks of Mind
Deja vu?
Why bad publicity is better than none
Weigh anchor
'It could be you'
'Wow! Grab it!'
'Too soon deject and too soon elate'
Ending the pain
The Essential Lie: Exploring the Myth-making Process
Building on mud
Dressed to kill
Waving the magic wand
Writing the hymn sheet
Singing from the hymn sheet
The essential lie
The suspicion of witchcraft
'Then came the cat'
'An intensity beyond belief'
High Tides and Green Grass: The Illusion of Control
Illusion
'Feel lucky, punk?'
Lightning strikes
Illusion piles upon illusion
Nothing succeeds like success?
Fine tuning the odds
Water seeping
'Like a child's sparkler'
'A fire the size of a cardboard box'
'Make pumps 4-persons reported'
High tides and green grass--in the desert
Tales of the Unexpected: Exploring the Paradox of Consequence
'Kickback': the paradox of consistency
Problems, problems
The hunter becomes the hunted
Winner's curse
The tale of the boilerman
The Icarus paradox
A runaway bull
The tragedy of the commons
'It was a crucial decision, it was the wrong one'
Brilliant and daft
Chance has got nothing to do with it
Riding a Tiger: Escalation in Decision Making
Mounting a tiger
Hidden depths
Promises, promises
All is human
Keeping up appearances
Hell hath no fury
Money sunk and lost
The march of folly
Tomorrow and tomorrow
'An Ace of Success': Knocking at the Door of Fate
The events unfold
'An ace of success'
Escalation
Shifting sands
Fiasco becomes inevitable
Trusting to luck
The fortunes of war
The Point of No Return
The scene is a dilapidated hairdresser's shop
'I've only myself to keep'
'Don't clap too loudly'
'Crisis, what crisis?'
'Drifting idly towards eternity'
Red light spells danger
Polishing the chains
Clutching the pole
Skeletons and cobwebs
The Art of Decision Making
Rising to the level of events
A dog is for life
Liars serving truth
Take a walk on the wild side
There's a rumour going round
Opposites
Look hard and look twice
Quacks bawling
Buying a 'cut and shut'
Fortune favours the brave
The illusion of alternatives
If at first you don't succeed ...
Escaping to reality
Catch a falling knife
Do no harm
Squeezing hands
Blown off-course
Creating luck
Show some emotion?
Puzzled as well as beaten
Ils ne passeront pas
Loving to death
Why ghosts return to haunt
The element of surprise
Sweet are the uses of adversity
The golden chance
Time and tide
Epilogue: A Dancing Star
Transcendent optimism
References
Index