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About the Authors | |
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Preface | |
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Introduction | |
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Transport Planning and Modelling | |
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Characteristics of Transport Problems | |
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Modelling and Decision Making | |
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Issues in Transport Modelling | |
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The Structure of the Classic Transport Model | |
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Continuous Transport Planning | |
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Theoretical Basis Versus Expedience | |
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Mathematical Prerequisites | |
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Introduction | |
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Algebra and Functions | |
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Matrix Algebra | |
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Elements of Calculus | |
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Elementary Mathematical Statistics | |
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Data and Space | |
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Basic Sampling Theory | |
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Errors in Modelling and Forecasting | |
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Basic Data-Collection Methods | |
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Stated Preference Surveys | |
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Network and Zoning Systems | |
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Exercises | |
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Trip Generation Modelling | |
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Introduction | |
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Regression Analysis | |
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Cross-Classification or Category Analysis | |
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Trip Generation and Accessibility | |
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The Frequency Choice Logit Model | |
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Forecasting Variables in Trip Generation Analysis | |
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Stability and Updating of Trip Generation Parameters | |
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Exercises | |
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Trip Distribution Modelling | |
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Definitions and Notation | |
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Growth-Factor Methods | |
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Synthetic or Gravity Models | |
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The Entropy-Maximising Approach | |
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Calibration of Gravity Models | |
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The Tri-proportional Approach | |
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Other Synthetic Models | |
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Practical Considerations | |
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Exercises | |
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Modal Split and Direct Demand Models | |
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Introduction | |
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Factors Influencing the Choice of Mode | |
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Trip-end Modal-split Models | |
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Trip Interchange Heuristics Modal-split Models | |
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Synthetic Models | |
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Direct Demand Models | |
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Exercises | |
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Discrete Choice Models | |
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General Considerations | |
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Theoretical Framework | |
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The Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) | |
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The Nested Logit Model (NL) | |
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The Multinomial Probit Model | |
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The Mixed Logit Model | |
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Other Choice Models and Paradigms | |
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Specification and Estimation of Discrete Choice Models | |
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Introduction | |
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Choice-Set Determination | |
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Specification and Functional Form | |
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Statistical Estimation | |
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Estimating the Multinomial Probit Model | |
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Estimating the Mixed Logit Model | |
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Modelling with Stated-Preference Data | |
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Exercises | |
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Model Aggregation and Transferability | |
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Introduction | |
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Aggregation Bias and Forecasting | |
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Confidence Intervals for Predictions | |
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Aggregation Methods | |
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Model Updating or Transferance | |
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Exercises | |
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Assignment | |
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Basic Concepts | |
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Traffic Assignment Methods | |
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All-or-nothing Assignment | |
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Stochastic Methods | |
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Congested Assignment | |
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Public-Transport Assignment | |
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Limitations of the Classic Methods | |
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Practical Considerations | |
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Exercises | |
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Equilibrium and Dynamic Assignment | |
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Introduction | |
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Equilibrium | |
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Transport System Equilibrium | |
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Traffic Dynamics | |
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Departure Time Choice and Assignment | |
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Exercises | |
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Simplified Transport Demand Models | |
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Introduction | |
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Sketch Planning Methods | |
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Incremental Demand Models | |
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Model Estimation from Traffic Counts | |
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Marginal and Corridor Models | |
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Gaming Simulation | |
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Exercises | |
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Freight Demand Models | |
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Importance | |
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Factors Affecting Goods Movements | |
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Pricing Freight Services | |
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Data Collection for Freight Studies | |
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Aggregate Freight Demand Modelling | |
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Disaggregate Approaches | |
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Some Practical Issues | |
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Activity Based Models | |
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Introduction | |
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Activities, Tours and Trips | |
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Tours, Individuals and Representative Individuals | |
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The ABM System | |
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Population Synthesis | |
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Monte Carlo and Probabilistic Processes | |
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Structuring Activities and Tours | |
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Solving ABM | |
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Refining Activity or Tour Based Models | |
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Extending Random Utility Approaches | |
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Key Parameters, Planning Variables and Value Functions | |
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Forecasting Planning Variables | |
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Land-Use Transport Interaction Modelling | |
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Car-Ownership Forecasting | |
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The Value of Travel Time | |
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Valuing External Effects of Transport | |
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Exercises | |
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Pricing and Revenue | |
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Pricing, Revenue and Forecasting | |
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Private Sector Projects | |
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Risk | |
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Demand Modelling | |
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Risk Analysis | |
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Concluding Remarks | |
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References | |
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Index. | |