Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapes The Upper San Pedro River Basin in Arizona and Sonora

ISBN-10: 1559632240

ISBN-13: 9781559632249

Edition: 2nd 2003

List price: $55.00
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Description:

Leading landscape architect and planner Carl Steinitz has developed an innovative GIS-based simulation modeling strategy that considers the demographic, economic, physical, and environmental processes of an area and projects the consequences to that area of various land-use planning and management decisions. The results of such projections, and the approach itself, are known as "alternative futures." Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapespresents for the first time in book form a detailed case study of one alternative futures projectan analysis of development and conservation options for the Upper San Pedro River Basin in Arizona and Sonora, Mexico. The area is internationally recognized for its high levels of biodiversity, and like many regions, it is facing increased pressures from nearby population centers, agriculture, and mining interests. Local officials and others planning for the future of the region are seeking to balance the needs of the natural environment with those of local human communities.The book describes how the research team, working with local stakeholders, developed a set of scenarios which encompassed public opinion on the major issues facing the area. They then simulated an array of possible patterns of land uses and assessed the resultant impacts on biodiversity and related environmental factors including vegetation, hydrology, and visual preference. The book gives a comprehensive overview of how the study was conducted, along with descriptions and analysis of the alternative futures that resulted. It includes more than 30 charts and graphs and more than 150 color figures.Scenario-based studies of alternative futures offer communities a powerful tool for making better-informed decisions today, which can help lead to an improved future. Alternative Futures for Changing Landscapespresents an important look at this promising approach and how it works for planners, landscape architects, local officials, and anyone involved with making land use decisions on local and regional scales.
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Book details

List price: $55.00
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 2003
Publisher: Island Press
Publication date: 1/1/2003
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 200
Size: 8.50" wide x 10.50" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 1.342
Language: English

List of Tables
List of Figures
Foreword
Preface
Alternative Futures for a Changing Region
The Upper San Pedro River Basin
The Framework for Alternative Futures Studies
The Organization of the Research
Natural and Cultural History
The Issues for Research
The Scenarios for Change
The Development Model
The Hydrological Model
The Vegetation Model
The Landscape Ecological Pattern Model
Single Species Potential Habitat Models
Threatened and Endangered Species Potential Habitat
The Vertebrate Species Richness and GAP Species Models
The Visual Preference Model
Summary of Impacts
Testing the Alternative Futures
Conclusions
The Scenarios Guide
The Computational Process
References
Acknowledgements
About the Authors
Index
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