| |
| |
Preface | |
| |
| |
Preface to the First Edition | |
| |
| |
| |
Basic Probability Theory | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Sample Spaces and Events | |
| |
| |
| |
The Axioms of Probability | |
| |
| |
| |
Finite Sample Spaces and Combinatorics | |
| |
| |
| |
Combinatorics | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Probability and Independence | |
| |
| |
| |
Independent Events | |
| |
| |
| |
The Law of Total Probability and Bayes' Formula | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayes' Formula | |
| |
| |
| |
Genetics and Probability | |
| |
| |
| |
Recursive Methods | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Random Variables | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Discrete Random Variables | |
| |
| |
| |
Continuous Random Variables | |
| |
| |
| |
The Uniform Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Functions of Random Variables | |
| |
| |
| |
Expected Value and Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
The Expected Value of a Function of a Random Variable | |
| |
| |
| |
Variance of a Random Variable | |
| |
| |
| |
Special Discrete Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Indicators | |
| |
| |
| |
The Binomial Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Geometric Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Poisson Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Hypergeometric Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Describing Data Sets | |
| |
| |
| |
The Exponential Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Normal Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Other Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
The Lognormal Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Gamma Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Cauchy Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Mixed Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Location Parameters | |
| |
| |
| |
The Failure Rate Function | |
| |
| |
| |
Uniqueness of the Failure Rate Function | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Joint Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
The Joint Distribution Function | |
| |
| |
| |
Discrete Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
Jointly Continuous Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Distributions and Independence | |
| |
| |
| |
Independent Random Variables | |
| |
| |
| |
Functions of Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
Real-Valued Functions of Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
The Expected Value and Variance of a Sum | |
| |
| |
| |
Vector-Valued Functions of Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Expectation | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Expectation as a Random Variable | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Expectation and Prediction | |
| |
| |
| |
Conditional Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
Recursive Methods | |
| |
| |
| |
Covariance and Correlation | |
| |
| |
| |
The Correlation Coefficient | |
| |
| |
| |
The Bivariate Normal Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Multidimensional Random Vectors | |
| |
| |
| |
Order Statistics | |
| |
| |
| |
Reliability Theory | |
| |
| |
| |
The Multinomial Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
The Multivariate Normal Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Convolution | |
| |
| |
| |
Generating Functions | |
| |
| |
| |
The Probability Generating Function | |
| |
| |
| |
The Moment Generating Function | |
| |
| |
| |
The Poisson Process | |
| |
| |
| |
Thinning and Superposition | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Limit Theorems | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
The Law of Large Numbers | |
| |
| |
| |
The Central Limit Theorem | |
| |
| |
| |
The Delta Method | |
| |
| |
| |
Convergence in Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Discrete Limits | |
| |
| |
| |
Continuous Limits | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Simulation | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Random Number Generation | |
| |
| |
| |
Simulation of Discrete Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Simulation of Continuous Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Miscellaneous | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Statistical Inference | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Point Estimators | |
| |
| |
| |
Estimating the Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
Confidence Intervals | |
| |
| |
| |
Confidence Interval for the Mean in the Normal Distribution with Known Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
Confidence Interval for an Unknown Probability | |
| |
| |
| |
One-Sided Confidence Intervals | |
| |
| |
| |
Estimation Methods | |
| |
| |
| |
The Method of Moments | |
| |
| |
| |
Maximum Likelihood | |
| |
| |
| |
Evaluation of Estimators with Simulation | |
| |
| |
| |
Bootstrap Simulation | |
| |
| |
| |
Hypothesis Testing | |
| |
| |
| |
Large Sample Tests | |
| |
| |
| |
Test for an Unknown Probability | |
| |
| |
| |
Further Topics in Hypothesis Testing | |
| |
| |
| |
P-Values | |
| |
| |
| |
Data Snooping | |
| |
| |
| |
The Power of a Test | |
| |
| |
| |
Multiple Hypothesis Testing | |
| |
| |
| |
Goodness of Fit | |
| |
| |
| |
Goodness-of-Fit Test for Independence | |
| |
| |
| |
Fisher's Exact Test | |
| |
| |
| |
Bayesian Statistics | |
| |
| |
| |
Noninformative priors | |
| |
| |
| |
Credibility Intervals | |
| |
| |
| |
Nonparametric Methods | |
| |
| |
| |
Nonparametric Hypothesis Testing | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparing Two Samples | |
| |
| |
| |
Nonparametric Confidence Intervals | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Linear Models | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Sampling Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Single Sample Inference | |
| |
| |
| |
Inference for the Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
Inference for the Mean | |
| |
| |
| |
Comparing Two Samples | |
| |
| |
| |
Inference about Means | |
| |
| |
| |
Inference about Variances | |
| |
| |
| |
Analysis of Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
One-Way Analysis of Variance | |
| |
| |
| |
Multiple Comparisons: Tukey's Method | |
| |
| |
| |
Kruskal-Wallis Test | |
| |
| |
| |
Linear Regression | |
| |
| |
| |
Prediction | |
| |
| |
| |
Goodness of Fit | |
| |
| |
| |
The Sample Correlation Coefficient | |
| |
| |
| |
Spearman's Correlation Coefficient | |
| |
| |
| |
The General Linear Model | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Stochastic Processes | |
| |
| |
| |
Introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
Discrete-Time Markov Chains | |
| |
| |
| |
Time Dynamics of a Markov Chain | |
| |
| |
| |
Classification of States | |
| |
| |
| |
Stationary Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Convergence to the Stationary Distribution | |
| |
| |
| |
Random Walks and Branching Processes | |
| |
| |
| |
The Simple Random Walk | |
| |
| |
| |
Multidimensional Random Walks | |
| |
| |
| |
Branching Processes | |
| |
| |
| |
Continuous-Time Markov Chains | |
| |
| |
| |
Stationary Distributions and Limit Distributions | |
| |
| |
| |
Birth-Death Processes | |
| |
| |
| |
Queueing Theory | |
| |
| |
| |
Further Properties of Queueing Systems | |
| |
| |
| |
Martingales | |
| |
| |
| |
Martingale Convergence | |
| |
| |
| |
Stopping Times | |
| |
| |
| |
Renewal Processes | |
| |
| |
| |
Asymptotic Properties | |
| |
| |
| |
Brownian Motion | |
| |
| |
| |
Hitting Times | |
| |
| |
| |
Variations of the Brownian Motion | |
| |
| |
Problems | |
| |
| |
| |
Tables | |
| |
| |
| |
Answers to Selected Problems | |
| |
| |
Further Reading | |
| |
| |
Index | |