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Decision Analysis for Management Judgment

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ISBN-10: 0470714395

ISBN-13: 9780470714393

Edition: 4th 2010

Authors: Paul Goodwin, George Wright

List price: $122.99
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Book details

List price: $122.99
Edition: 4th
Copyright year: 2010
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Limited
Publication date: 9/11/2009
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 468
Size: 7.50" wide x 9.00" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 1.936
Language: English

Foreword
Preface
Introduction
How people make decision involving multiple objectives
Decision involving multiple objectives: Smart
Decision involving multiple objectives: alternatives to Smart
Introduction to probability
Decision-making under uncertainty
Decision trees and influence diagrams
Applying simulation to decision problems
Revising judgments in the light of new information
Heuristics and biases in probability assessment
Method for eliciting probabilities
Risk and uncertainty management
Decision involving groups of individuals
Resource allocation and negotiation problems
Decision framing and cognitive inertia
Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty
Alternative decision-support systems and conclusions
Suggested answers to selected questions
Index