Fire Your Stock Analyst! Analyzing Stocks on Your Own

ISBN-10: 0137010230
ISBN-13: 9780137010233
Edition: 2nd 2010
Authors: Harry Domash
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Description: When it comes to choosing winning stocks, there's simply no substitute for understanding the company: its strengths, weaknesses, business model, growth prospects, and true financial results. You could rely on Wall Street analysts to do this analysis  More...

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Book details

List price: $24.95
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 2010
Publisher: Financial Times/Prentice Hall
Publication date: 1/19/2010
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 416
Size: 6.00" wide x 8.94" long x 0.85" tall
Weight: 1.188
Language: English

When it comes to choosing winning stocks, there's simply no substitute for understanding the company: its strengths, weaknesses, business model, growth prospects, and true financial results. You could rely on Wall Street analysts to do this analysis for you, if you trusted them! Fortunately, there's a better alternative: do it yourself. Sounds too difficult or time-consuming? Not anymore! MSN Money columnist Harry Domash has identified shortcuts that streamline the entire research process, helping you consistently uncover the companies that offer the best prospects for stock growth and stocks to avoid like the plague. You'll find these powerful new shortcuts in only one place: the newest edition of the best-selling stock-picker's guide,Fire Your Stock Analyst. Domash reveals how to quickly assess every issue that drives stock performance, on and off the balance sheet. He presents step-by-step strategies for both value and growth-oriented investors, new examples drawn from today's markets, and a completely updated set of tools and free online resources. Along the way, Domash makes advanced analysis easier than it's ever been, presents new ways of quantifying stock risk, and covers issues most books simply ignore, including how to set your own target prices, and most important, when to sell.

HARRY DOMASH publishes Winning Investing, a monthly stock and mutual fund advisory newsletter. He also teaches stock and mutual-fund analysis classes, is a frequent speaker at the American Association of Individual Investors' meetings, and conducts fundamental analysis workshops. Domash's investing tutorial column appears in the San Francisco Chronicle and the Santa Cruz Sentinel. His fundamental analysis columns have appeared in Business 2.0 magazine. He is the author of The Everything Online Investing Book: How to Use the Internet to Analyze Stocks & Mutual Funds. He runs the www.winninginvesting.com site for personal investors.

Acknowledgments
About the Author
Introduction
Getting Started
The Analysis Process
Identifying Potential Candidates
Concentrate on the Strongest Candidates
Quick Prequalify
Detailed Analysis
When to Sell
Summary
Evaluating Risk
Portfolio Risk
Risk Factors
Spotting Strong Industries in a Weak Market
Company-Specific Risks
Company-Specific Risks Described in Subsequent Chapters
Summary
Screening
Morningstar
Google
Zacks
Portfoliol23
Google Growth Screen
Zacks Growth/Momentum Screen
Portfolio 123 Down & Out Value Stock Finder
Portfolio 123 Growth Stock Screen
Zacks' Bulletproof Stocks
The Zen of Screening
Premade Screens
Summary
Analysis Tools
Analysis Tool #1: Analyze Analysts' Data
Who are the Analysts?
Analysts' Ratings
"Sell" is a Four-Letter Word
Consensus Ratings
Do Strong Buys Outperform Sells?
Number of Analysts
Sentiment Index
Analysts' Estimates
Earnings Surprise
Sales Forecasts
Guidance Changes
Research Reports
Summary
Analysis Tool #2: Valuation
Implied Growth
Growth at a Reasonable Price
Dividends
Summary
Analysis Tool #3: Establish Target Prices
The Process
Summary
Analysis Tool. #4: Industry Analysis
The Business
Industiy Growth Outlook
Analysts' Forecasts are Good Enough
Convert Earnings Growth to Sales Growth
Industry Concentration
Picking Winners in an Emerging Fragmented Industry
Industry Scuttlebutt
Summary
Analysis Tool #5: Business Plan Analysis
Introduction
Overblown Competitive Advantages: Factors That Should Make a Difference but Often Don't
Business Plan Scorecard
Summary
Analysis Tool #6: Evaluate Management Quality
Key Executive and Board Quality
Clean Accounting
Earnings Growth Stability
Stock Ownership
Summary
Analysis Tool #7: Analyze Financial Fitness
Financial Fitness Counts
Pinpointing Financially Challenged Companies
Simplify the Problem
Detecting Potential Busted Cash Burners
Detailed Fiscal Fitness Exam
Bond Ratings
Use Bond Prices to Identify Risky Debtors
Summary
Analysis Tool #8: Profitability and Growth Analysis
Where Do Earnings Come From?
Analyzing Sales (Revenue) History
Analyzing Margins
Comparing Margins
High Versus Low Margins
Analyzing Overhead Expenses
Profitability Ratios
Cash Flow Analysis
EBITDA Versus Operating Cash Flow
Summary
Analysis Tool #9: Detect Red Flags
Sales Growth Trends
Accounts Receivables and Inventories
Statement of Cash Flows
Yellow Flags
Summary
Analysis Tool #10: Ownership Considerations
Institutional Ownership
Insider Ownership
Summary
Analysis Tool #11: Price Charts
Trends
Moving Averages
Value Investors
Growth Investors
Avoid Downtrends
Compare Short- and Long-Term Moving Averages
The Risk Zone
Chart Types
Trading Volume
Summary
The Analysis Process
Quick Prequalify
Concentrate on the Strongest Candidates
Company Overview
Valuation Ratios
Real Revenues + Real Earnings + Real Growth = Real Stock
Check the Buzz
Summary
The Value Investing Process
Concentrate on the Strongest Candidates
Cycles
Normalizing
The Valie Analysis Process
When to Sell
Summary
The Growth Investing Process
Concentrate on the Strongest Candidates
Growth Candidates
The Process
When to Sell
Summary
Analysis Scorecards
Value Stock Analysis Scorecard
Growth Stock Analysis Scorecard
Appendixes
Industry Information
Economic Data
Earnings Reports and Conference Calls
Reported Earnings
Summary
Detecting Scams, Frauds, and Pump and Dump
Summary
How to Read Financial Statements
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Statement of Cash Flows
Finding the Data
Pro Forma Accounting Versus GAAP
Glossary
Index

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