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Probability and Stochastic Modeling, Second Editon The Mathematics of Insurance, Second Editon

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ISBN-10: 1439872066

ISBN-13: 9781439872062

Edition: 2012

Authors: Vladimir I. Rotar

List price: $105.00
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Description:

With a focus on applications, this unique introductory book goes beyond the standard facts typically presented in probability texts. It includes a variety of stochastic models of real phenomena and methods of modeling, such as simulation, Markov chains, counting and compound processes, simple trees, queuing theory, reliability models, diffusion, and models of the financial market. It contains numerous examples from various fields, including economics, finance, insurance, computer science, and physics. The text also provides examples and exercises on numerical calculations using Excel.
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Book details

List price: $105.00
Copyright year: 2012
Publisher: CRC Press LLC
Publication date: 8/25/2012
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 508
Size: 7.28" wide x 10.12" long x 1.06" tall
Weight: 2.288

Basic Notions
Sample Space and Events
Probabilities
Counting Techniques
Independence and Conditional Probability
Independence
Conditioning
The Borel-Cantelli Theorem
Discrete Random Variables
Random Variables and Vectors
Expected Value
Variance and Other Moments
Inequalities for Deviations
Some Basic Distributions
Convergence of Random Variables
The Law of Large Numbers
Conditional Expectation
Generating Functions
Branching Processes
Random Walk Revisited
Branching Processes
Generating Functions
Branching Processes Revisited
More on Random Walk
Markov Chains
Definitions and Examples
Probability Distributions of Markov Chains
The First Step Analysis
Passage Times
Variables Defined on a Markov Chain
Ergodicity and Stationary Distributions
A Classification of States and Ergodicity
Continuous Random Variables
Continuous Distributions
Some Basic Distributions
Continuous Multivariate Distributions
Sums of Independent Random Variables
Conditional Distributions and Expectations
Distributions in the General Case
Simulation
Distribution Functions
Expected Values
On Convergence in Distribution and Probability
Simulation
Histograms
Moment Generating Functions
Definitions and Properties
Some Examples of Applications
Exponential or Bernstein-Chernoff's Bounds
The Central Limit Theorem for Independent Random Variables
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for Independent and Identically Distributed Random Variables
The CLT for Independent Variables in the General Case
Covariance Analysis
The Multivariate Normal Distribution
The Multivariate Central Limit Theorem
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance Matrices and Some Applications
The Multivariate Normal Distribution
Maxima and Minima of Random Variables
Elements of Reliability Theory
Hazard Rate and Survival Probabilities
Maxima and Minima of Random Variables
Reliability Characteristics
Limit Theorems for Maxima and Minima
Hazard Rate
Survival Probabilities
Stochastic Processes: Preliminaries
A General Definition
Processes with Independent Increments
Brownian Motion
Markov Processes
A Representation and Simulation of Markov Processes in Discrete Time
Counting and Queuing Processes
Birth and Death Processes: A General Scheme
Poisson Processes
Birth and Death Processes
Elements of Renewal Theory
Preliminaries
Limit Theorems
Some Proofs
Martingales in Discrete Time
Definitions and Properties
Optional Time and Some Applications
Martingales and a Financial Market Model
Limit Theorems for Martingales
Brownian Motion and Martingales in Continuous Time
Brownian Motion and Its Generalizations
Martingales in Continuous Time
More on Dependency Structures
Arrangement Structures and the Corresponding Dependencies
Measures of Dependency
Limit Theorems for Dependent Random Variables
Symmetric Distributions
De Finetti's Theorem
Comparison of Random Variables
Risk Evaluation
Some Particular Criteria
Expected Utility
Generalizations of the EUM Criterion
Appendix
References
Answers to Exercises
Index
Exercises appear at the end of each chapter