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Preface to the First Edition | |
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Preface to the Second Edition | |
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The need for measure theory | |
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Various kinds of random variables | |
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The uniform distribution and non-measurable sets | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Probability triples | |
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Basic definition | |
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Constructing probability triples | |
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The Extension Theorem | |
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Constructing the Uniform[0, 1] distribution | |
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Extensions of the Extension Theorem | |
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Coin tossing and other measures | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Further probabilistic foundations | |
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Random variables | |
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Independence | |
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Continuity of probabilities | |
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Limit events | |
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Tail fields | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Expected values | |
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Simple random variables | |
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General non-negative random variables | |
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Arbitrary random variables | |
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The integration connection | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Inequalities and convergence | |
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Various inequalities | |
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Convergence of random variables | |
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Laws of large numbers | |
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Eliminating the moment conditions | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Distributions of random variables | |
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Change of variable theorem | |
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Examples of distributions | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Stochastic processes and gambling games | |
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A first existence theorem | |
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Gambling and gambler's ruin | |
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Gambling policies | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Discrete Markov chains | |
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A Markov chain existence theorem | |
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Transience, recurrence, and irreducibility | |
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Stationary distributions and convergence | |
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Existence of stationary distributions | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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More probability theorems | |
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Limit theorems | |
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Differentiation of expectation | |
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Moment generating functions and large deviations | |
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Fubini's Theorem and convolution | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Weak convergence | |
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Equivalences of weak convergence | |
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Connections to other convergence | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Characteristic functions | |
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The continuity theorem | |
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The Central Limit Theorem | |
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Generalisations of the Central Limit Theorem | |
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Method of moments | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Decomposition of probability laws | |
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Lebesgue and Hahn decompositions | |
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Decomposition with general measures | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Conditional probability and expectation | |
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Conditioning on a random variable | |
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Conditioning on a sub-[sigma]-algebra | |
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Conditional variance | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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Martingales | |
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Stopping times | |
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Martingale convergence | |
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Maximal inequality | |
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Exercises | |
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Section summary | |
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General stochastic processes | |
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Kolmogorov Existence Theorem | |
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Markov chains on general state spaces | |
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Continuous-time Markov processes | |
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Brownian motion as a limit | |
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Existence of Brownian motion | |
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Diffusions and stochastic integrals | |
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Ito's Lemma | |
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The Black-Scholes equation | |
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Section summary | |
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Mathematical Background | |
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Sets and functions | |
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Countable sets | |
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Epsilons and Limits | |
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Infimums and supremums | |
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Equivalence relations | |
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Bibliography | |
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Background in real analysis | |
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Undergraduate-level probability | |
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Graduate-level probability | |
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Pure measure theory | |
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Stochastic processes | |
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Mathematical finance | |
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Index | |