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List of Abbreviations | |
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Foundations | |
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An Overview of the Evaluation and Financing of Capital Projects | |
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Evaluation and Funding of Projects | |
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Project Financials | |
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Evaluating the Project Based on Free Cash Flow | |
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Profit (or Earnings) is Not Required for the Assessment of the Project | |
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Investment Decision Precedes the Financing Decision | |
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Past Expenses are Excluded from the Project Financials | |
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Assessment of the Risk of the Project | |
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Financing of a Capital Project | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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The Theory and Practice of Decision-making Concerning Capital Projects | |
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Introduction | |
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Cost-benefit Analysis, Engineering Economics and Capital Budgeting | |
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Perspectives for the Assessment of Projects | |
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Enhancing Value for Investors | |
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Business Context | |
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Financial Stewardship Within a Business | |
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Sources and Use of Funds | |
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Investment and Financing Decisions Within the Business | |
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Evaluation of Investment Opportunities | |
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Business Decision-making | |
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A Framework for Decision-making | |
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Steps in the Decision-making Process | |
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Frame: the Decision Context and Possible Alternatives | |
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Evaluate: the Assessment of Alternatives Based on Criteria | |
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Decide: the Act of Decision-making | |
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The Practice of Decision-making for Capital Projects | |
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Classification of Capital Projects | |
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Relationship Between Projects | |
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Decision Authority for Capital Projects | |
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Case Study: Small Project | |
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Case Study: Large Project | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Financial Statements | |
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Introduction | |
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Business Process and the Dual Nature of Transactions | |
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The Dual Nature of Transactions | |
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Business Process | |
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Financial Records | |
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Accounting Principles and Conventions | |
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Business Entity | |
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Accrual Accounting | |
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Historical Cost | |
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Financial Statements | |
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Basic Transactions in a Business | |
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Income Statement | |
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Balance Sheet | |
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Cash Flow Statement | |
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Depreciation | |
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The Interaction Between the Financial Statements | |
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Relationship Between the Financial Statements and the Project Cash Flows | |
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Case Study: Santa Anna Hydroelectric Power Scheme | |
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Project Financials | |
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Income Statement | |
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Cash Flow Statement | |
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Balance Sheet | |
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Examining the Business Risks | |
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Case Study: Apex Foods | |
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Ratio Analysis and Financial Trees | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Cash Flows for a Project | |
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Introduction | |
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Determining the Cash Flows for a Project | |
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Overview of the Stages of Engineering Design and Construction | |
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Approval Procedure | |
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Estimation of the Capital Costs | |
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Components of Capital Cost Estimates | |
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Classification of Capital Cost Estimates Based on their End Use | |
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Classification of Capital Cost Estimates Based on their Level of Accuracy | |
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Estimation Techniques for Capital Costs | |
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Factored Estimate Techniques | |
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Unit Costs Techniques | |
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Estimation of the Total Operating Costs | |
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Direct Production or Manufacturing Costs | |
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Fixed Manufacturing Costs | |
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Plant Overheads | |
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General and Administrative | |
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Royalties and Production Payment | |
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Forecasts of the Sales or Revenue | |
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Calculation of the Direct Taxes and Royalties | |
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Corporate Tax | |
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Capital Gains Tax | |
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Royalties | |
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Working Capital | |
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Case Study: Order of Magnitude Estimate of the Capital Cost of a Plant | |
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Case Study: Factored Estimate of the Capital Cost of a Plant | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Evaluation of Capital Projects | |
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Time Value of Money | |
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Introduction | |
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Interest and Interest Rates | |
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Effect of Timing on the Value of Money | |
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Future Value | |
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Multiple Periods | |
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Types of Interest Rates | |
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Nominal and Period Interest Rate | |
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Effective Rate | |
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Compounding | |
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Single Payments: Growth | |
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Multiple Equal Payments: Annuities | |
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Multiple Periods: Growth Annuities | |
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Multiple Payments of Unequal Amounts | |
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Discounting | |
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Single Amounts of Future Cash Flow | |
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Multiple Equal Amounts | |
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Uneven Cash Flows | |
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Compound Interest Formula | |
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Single Payment Interest Formula | |
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Multiple Equal Payments | |
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A Notation for Interest Rate Factors | |
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Case Study: Zero Coupon and Coupon Bonds | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Evaluation Criteria for Investment Decisions | |
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Creating Value for the Investor | |
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Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques | |
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Payback Period | |
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Return on Investment | |
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Discounted Cash Flow Techniques | |
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Net Present Value | |
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Profitability Index or Benefit-cost Ratio | |
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Internal Rate of Return | |
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Modified Internal Rate of Return | |
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Discounted Payback Period | |
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Benefit-Cost Ratio | |
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Equivalent Annual Charge | |
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Comparison Between Discounted Cash Flow Techniques | |
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Relative and Absolute Measures | |
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Agreement and Conflict Between Measures | |
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The Reinvestment Assumption in the NPV and IRR | |
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Case Study: Decision Criteria | |
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Survey of the Most Used Criteria | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Mutually Exclusive, Replacement and Independent Projects | |
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Classification of Asset Allocation Decisions | |
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Mutually Exclusive Alternatives | |
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Ranking Mutually Exclusive Options with Equal Lives | |
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Ranking Mutually Exclusive Projects with Unequal Lives | |
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Selection of Mutually Exclusive Alternatives | |
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Replacement Studies: Mutually Exclusive Decisions with an Incumbent | |
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Economic Service Life | |
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Selection of Defender or Challenger Based on Equivalent Annual Charge | |
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Replacement for Service Required for Defined Period | |
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Non-mutually Exclusive or Independent Projects | |
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Effect of Starting Times Delays and Project Life | |
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Ranking | |
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Selection of Projects Under Capital Rationing | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Practical Issues in the Evaluation of Projects | |
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Introduction | |
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Inflation and Price Escalation | |
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Taxation | |
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Tax Position of the Company | |
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Methods of Calculation of Depreciation | |
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Comparison Between Depreciation Methods | |
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Effect of the Depreciation Method on NPV and IRR | |
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Disposal of a Depreciable Asset | |
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Choice of the Discount Rate | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Sensitivity, Scenario and Other Decision Analysis Techniques | |
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Introduction | |
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Influence Diagrams | |
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Sensitivity Analysis | |
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Scenario Analysis | |
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Strategy Space | |
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Decision Analysis | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Case Studies on the Application of the Decision-making Criteria | |
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Introduction | |
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Santa Clara HEPS | |
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Introduction | |
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Decision Frame | |
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Evaluation | |
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Decide | |
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Mobile Crusher | |
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Introduction | |
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Evaluation | |
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Recommendation | |
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Mobile Crusher Contractor | |
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Introduction | |
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Evaluation | |
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Filtration Joint Venture | |
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Introduction | |
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Project Financials | |
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Assessment | |
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Sensitivity Analysis | |
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Commercial Arrangement Between Alex and WasteTek | |
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Financing of the Project | |
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Recommendation | |
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Bakersfield Water Pumps | |
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Introduction | |
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Project Financials | |
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Sensitivity Analysis | |
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Recommendation | |
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Combine Harvester | |
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Introduction | |
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Project Financials | |
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Evaluation | |
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Sensitivity Analysis | |
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Pricing | |
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Recommendation | |
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PetroGen Oil Field and Petroleum Refinery | |
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Project Financials | |
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Assessment | |
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Financing of the Project | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions and Exercises | |
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Santa Clara HEPS | |
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Mobile Crusher | |
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Mobile Crusher Contractor | |
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Filtration Operation | |
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Water Pumps | |
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Combine Harvester | |
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Petroleum Field and Refinery | |
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Risk Assessment | |
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Risk and Return | |
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Introduction | |
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Returns | |
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Certainty and Uncertainty | |
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Business Risks | |
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Financing Risks | |
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Investment Risk | |
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Portfolio Risk | |
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Diversification | |
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The Attainable Region and the Efficient Frontier | |
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Capital Asset Pricing Model | |
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Portfolio Selection | |
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Critique of Finance Theory | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Cost of Capital | |
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Introduction | |
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Cost of Equity | |
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Calculating the Cost of Equity from the CAPM | |
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Calculating the Cost of Equity from the Growth Model | |
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Calculating the Cost of Equity from the Historical Returns | |
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Interest Rates and the Cost of Debt | |
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Pooling of Funds | |
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital | |
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Entity Versus Equity Basis | |
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Practices in the Calculation of WACC | |
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Cost of Equity Capital | |
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Risk-free Rate | |
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Market-risk Premium | |
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Beta | |
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Weighting Factors in WACC | |
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Tax Rate | |
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Review Period | |
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WACC, Leverage and Debt Financing | |
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Opportunity Cost of Capital, MARR and the Hurdle Rate | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Risk in Engineering Projects | |
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Introduction | |
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Sources of Uncertainty | |
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Company-level Risks | |
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Project-level Risks | |
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Probability Method | |
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Risk-adjusted Discount Rate | |
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Company-risk Premium | |
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Project-risk Premium | |
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Certainty Equivalent Method | |
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Certainty Equivalent Coefficients | |
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Certainty Equivalent Risk Premiums | |
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Relationship Between the RADR and the CE Methods | |
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Risk Adjustment Practices | |
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Monte Carlo Simulation | |
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Discrete and Continuous Distributions | |
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Drawing a Random Sample | |
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Monte Carlo Simulation of a Project with One Source of Uncertainty | |
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Value at Risk (VaR) | |
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Monte Carlo Simulation with Multiple Sources of Uncertainty | |
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Review of Assumptions | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Decision Tree Analysis and Utility Theory | |
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Introduction | |
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Decision Tree Analysis | |
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Decision, Event and Terminal Nodes | |
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Basic Decision Trees | |
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Events and Probabilities | |
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Value of Terminal Nodes | |
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Expected Value and Decision Trees | |
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Net Present Value | |
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Joint Probability | |
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Short-cut Notation | |
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Decision Analysis | |
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Utility Theory and Risk | |
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Utility | |
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Utility Function | |
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Lotteries and Certainty Equivalents | |
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Expected Utility | |
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Utility and Risk Premium | |
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Exponential Utility Function | |
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Using Utility to Account for Risk in NPV Calculations | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Real Options Analysis | |
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Introduction | |
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Financial Options | |
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Options Contracts | |
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Payoff from an Option | |
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Price of an Option | |
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Use of Options | |
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Options on Non-financial Assets: Real Options | |
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Examples of Real Options | |
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Option to Invest (or Deferral Option) | |
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Time-to-built Options | |
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Growth Options | |
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Abandonment Options | |
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Switching Options | |
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The Valuation of Financial Options | |
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Risk-free Portfolio | |
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Risk-neutral Probability | |
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Binomial Lattice | |
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Black-Scholes Option Pricing Formula | |
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Valuation of Real Options | |
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Option to Invest | |
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Option to Abandon | |
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Option to Temporarily Close Operations | |
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Option to Expand or Contract | |
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Option to Switch Between Alternatives | |
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Decision-making Process | |
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Real Options Analysis is Not Decision Tree Analysis | |
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Strategic Thinking and Real Options | |
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Case Study: Phased Expansion of Gas-to-Liquids Operation | |
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Introduction | |
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Staging the Investment Decision | |
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Real Options Analysis | |
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Concluding Comments | |
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Case Study: Value of the Joint Venture Contract for Cuprum | |
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Introduction | |
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Market for Copper Concentrates | |
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Revenues | |
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Capital and Operating Costs for Cuprum and Smelters | |
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NPV of Copper Smelting and Cuprum's Process | |
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The Value of the Technology | |
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Concluding Comments | |
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Summary | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Financing of Capital Projects | |
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Sources of Finance | |
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Introduction | |
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Lenders, Borrowers and Financial Institutions | |
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Financial Securities | |
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Equity Instruments | |
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Debt Instruments | |
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Types of Loans | |
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Long-term Debt | |
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Short-term Debt | |
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Public Issue and Private Placement of Financial Securities | |
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Financial Markets | |
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Equity Markets | |
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Bond Markets | |
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Futures and Derivatives Markets | |
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Financing Decisions Within a Company | |
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Capital Structure | |
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Dividend Policy | |
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Comparison of Equity and Debt Financing | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Financing Engineering Projects | |
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Introduction | |
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Financing Engineering Construction of Capital Projects | |
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Project Delivery Systems | |
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Risk in Engineering Contracting | |
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Construction Loans | |
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Financial Guarantees | |
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Indiantown Cogeneration Facility | |
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Eurotunnel | |
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Project Finance | |
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Overview of Project Finance | |
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Project Structure | |
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Risks and Risk Mitigation | |
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Assessing Debt Capacity | |
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Application of Project Finance | |
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Project Finance for the Pembroke Cracking Company | |
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Project Finance for the Ras Gas Project | |
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Public-private Partnerships and the Funding of Public Infrastructure | |
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Risk Sharing in Public-private Partnerships | |
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Structuring of a Public-private Partnership | |
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The A1-M1 Link Road | |
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Case Study: Project Finance of a Cogeneration Facility | |
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Introduction | |
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Legal Structure | |
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Contractual Arrangements for the Project | |
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Project Financials | |
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Assessment | |
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Financing | |
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Concluding Remarks | |
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Summary | |
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Review Questions | |
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Exercises | |
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Equivalent US and UK Terms Used in the Financial Statements | |
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Answers to Selected Exercises | |
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Glossary | |
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Bibliography | |
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Index | |