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| Preface to the Third Edition | |
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| Operations Analysis: A Scientific Basis for Operational Decisions | |
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| Operations Analysis | |
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| Historical Background in the Military | |
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| Operations Analysis and the Naval Officer | |
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| The OA Method | |
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| The Objective of the Operation | |
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| The Alternative Courses of Action | |
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| Identification and Classification of Variables | |
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| Measures of Effectiveness | |
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| Models | |
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| Problem Analysis | |
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| Communication of Results | |
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| Implementation | |
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| Concluding Remarks | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Decision Criteria | |
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| Payoff Matrix | |
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| State Probabilities Known or Estimable | |
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| State Probabilities Unknown | |
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| Utility Theory | |
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| Cost-Effectiveness--Multiple MOEs | |
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| Game Theory | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Simulation | |
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| An Example | |
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| Random Numbers | |
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| Standard Error | |
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| Continuous Random Variate Generation | |
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| Normally Distributed Random Variates | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Sonar and Radar Sensors | |
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| Sonar Detection | |
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| Passive Sonar Equation | |
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| A Passive Sonar Problem | |
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| Active Sonar Equation (Noise-Limited) | |
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| An Active Sonar Problem (Noise-Limited) | |
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| Active Sonar Equation (Reverberation-Limited) | |
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| An Active Sonar Problem (Reverberation-Limited) | |
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| Glimpse Probability of Detection | |
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| Data and Data Sources | |
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| Summary | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Radar Detection | |
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| Radar Horizon | |
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| Radar Scattering | |
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| Radar Range Equation | |
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| Radar Reflection and Radar Cross Section | |
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| Antennas | |
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| Signal to Noise/Interference and Probability of Detection and False Alarm | |
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| Electronic Warfare | |
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| Clutter | |
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| Passive Countermeasures and Stealth | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Sonar Problems | |
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| Radar Problems | |
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| Cumulative Detection Probability | |
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| Basic Definitions | |
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| Independent Discrete Glimpses | |
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| A Model that Incorporates Sequential Dependence | |
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| Unimodal Formula for cdp (Discrete Glimpses) | |
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| Unimodal Formula for cdp (Continuous Looking) | |
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| A General cdp Algorithm Under ([lambda], [sigma]) | |
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| Independent Continuous Looking-Detection Rate Models | |
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| Some Alternative cdp Methods | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Lateral Range Curves and Sweep Width | |
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| Lateral Range | |
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| Lateral Range Curve | |
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| Detection of Randomly Distributed Targets | |
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| Sweep Width | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Search and Patrol | |
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| Random Search | |
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| Random Search in Strips | |
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| Parallel Sweeps | |
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| Inverse Cube Law | |
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| Random Search of an Expanding Region (Evading Target) | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Computer-Assisted Search | |
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| Stationary Target | |
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| Principal Requirements for Moving Target CAS | |
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| Simplified Illustration of Moving Target Monte Carlo CAS | |
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| Optimal Search for a Moving Target | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Barrier Patrols | |
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| Crossover Barrier Patrol | |
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| Symmetric Crossover Patrol | |
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| Barrier patrol Selection Considerations | |
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| Barrier When Target Speed Is Close to Searcher's Speed | |
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| Kinematic Enhancement of Linear Patrols | |
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| Kinematic Enhancement Versus Acoustic Degradation | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Mine Warfare | |
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| A Little Technology | |
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| Modeling Mine Warfare in Theater Level Models | |
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| Minefield Planning | |
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| The Pre-averaging Problem | |
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| Monte Carlo Simulation Versus Analytic Methods | |
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| Mine Countermeasures (MCM) | |
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| A Game Theory View of Mine Warfare | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Bearings-Only Target Motion Analysis | |
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| Notation | |
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| Own Ship on Linear Track | |
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| Ekelund Ranging | |
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| Time Correction | |
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| Spiess TMA | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Target Coverage | |
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| Damage Functions and Firing Errors | |
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| Uniform Fire and Area Bombardment | |
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| Aimed Fire | |
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| Arsenal Comparisons | |
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| Layered Defense with Unlimited Defensive Weapons | |
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| Layered Defense with Limited Defensive Weapons | |
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| Analysis of Complex Tactical Situations | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Fleet Air Warfare | |
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| Exercise Analysis | |
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| Combat Air Patrol (CAP) | |
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| Inner Air Battle | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Reliability | |
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| From Life Distributions to Failure Rates, and the No-Wear Example | |
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| Mean Time to Failure | |
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| The Shape of Wearout | |
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| Mission Profiles | |
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| Block Diagrammable Systems | |
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| Examples of System Survival Functions, Failure Rates, and MTTFs | |
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| Fault Trees | |
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| Retrial Redundancy | |
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| Spares and Standby Systems | |
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| Further Examples of Survival Function Modeling | |
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| Other Literature and History | |
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| Problems | |
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| Appendixes | |
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| Probability-The Mathematics of Uncertainty | |
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| Linear Programming Formulation of Matrix Games | |
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| Use of Decibels | |
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| Index | |