| |
| |
| List of Tables | |
| |
| |
| Acknowledgments | |
| |
| |
| Introduction: The Tragedy of Civil War Recurrence | |
| |
| |
| The Importance of This Book | |
| |
| |
| The Central Argument | |
| |
| |
| Contributions to Theory | |
| |
| |
| Research Design and Methodology | |
| |
| |
| Organization of the Book | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Why Peace Fails: Theory | |
| |
| |
| |
| What Do We Know about Why Peace Fails? | |
| |
| |
| What We Know about Civil Wars and Ethnic Conflict | |
| |
| |
| Four Approaches to Peacebuilding | |
| |
| |
| Clarifying Concepts: Exclusion, Inclusion, and Legitimacy | |
| |
| |
| Conclusion | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Is Civil War Recurrence Distinct from Its Onset? A Quantitative Analysis and the Limits Thereof | |
| |
| |
| A Regression Analysis of Civil War Recurrence | |
| |
| |
| The Contributions and Limitations of Quantitative Methods for Studying Civil Wars | |
| |
| |
| Conclusion | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Examining the Cases | |
| |
| |
| |
| Liberia: Exclusion and Civil War Recurrence | |
| |
| |
| The First Civil War | |
| |
| |
| The Onset of Peace | |
| |
| |
| The Second Civil War: A Brief Summary | |
| |
| |
| Charles Taylor's Exclusionary Behavior | |
| |
| |
| Alternative Explanations | |
| |
| |
| Insights from Liberia's Second Postwar Peace Process | |
| |
| |
| Conclusion | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Separatist Recurrences of Civil War | |
| |
| |
| Sudan: The Marginalization of the South | |
| |
| |
| Chechnya: Reneging and Resistance | |
| |
| |
| Georgia and South Ossetia: Integration Backfires | |
| |
| |
| China and Tibet: Compelled from Autonomy | |
| |
| |
| Analyzing Cases of Reneging on Territorial Autonomy | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Nonseparatist Recurrences of Civil War | |
| |
| |
| Precipitating Exclusionary Behavior | |
| |
| |
| The Central African Republic: Exclusion and State Weakness | |
| |
| |
| Haiti: Political Exclusion and Recurrence | |
| |
| |
| East Timor: Liberation, Statehood, and Exclusion | |
| |
| |
| Zimbabwe: Liberation, Statehood, and Exclusion | |
| |
| |
| Burundi and Rwanda: Chronic Exclusionary Behavior | |
| |
| |
| Alternative Explanations and Conclusions | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Recurrences That Defy the Argument | |
| |
| |
| Lebanon: Failed Powersharing | |
| |
| |
| Mali: Failed Powersharing | |
| |
| |
| Nicaragua: Externally Driven Recurrence | |
| |
| |
| Peru: Exclusion, Coca, and Rebel Resurgence | |
| |
| |
| Conclusion | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Making Peace Stick: Inclusionary Politics and Twenty-Seven Nonrecurrent Civil Wars | |
| |
| |
| Inclusion, Powersharing, and Peacebuilding Success | |
| |
| |
| Powersharing and Peace Consolidation: Examining the Pool of Cases | |
| |
| |
| Beyond Powersharing: Inclusionary Behavior and Peace | |
| |
| |
| Peace and Exclusionary Behavior? | |
| |
| |
| International Troops and "Frozen" Conflicts | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Implications for Theory and Practice | |
| |
| |
| |
| Conclusions for Theory: Legitimacy-Focused Peacebuilding | |
| |
| |
| The Main Findings of the Book | |
| |
| |
| Rethinking the Aims and Approaches of Peacebuilding | |
| |
| |
| Addressing Limitations | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| |
| Conclusions for Policy and Practice: Can External Actors Build Legitimacy after War? | |
| |
| |
| Why Legitimacy Building Is Exceptionally Difficult | |
| |
| |
| Beyond Blanket Inclusionary Formulas: Four "Moments" for Key Choices and External Strategy | |
| |
| |
| Conclusion | |
| |
| |
| Notes | |
| |
| |
| References | |
| |
| |
| Index | |