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Stress Testing the System

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ISBN-10: 0876092717

ISBN-13: 9780876092712

Edition: 2001

Authors: Roger Kubarych

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Book details

Copyright year: 2001
Publisher: Council on Foreign Relations
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 120
Size: 5.75" wide x 9.25" long x 0.50" tall
Weight: 0.748
Language: English

Foreword
Acknowledgments
An Introduction
Economics and Finance at Center Stage
Antecedents: Military, Business, Financial
Guiding Principles for Constructing the Scenario
Organization of the Simulation
Stabilizing the Financial Markets: The Focal Point of the Simulation
Preparing the Scenario
From Shock to Crisis: The Role of Accelerants
The Market Setting
At the Simulation--Part I
At the Simulation--Part II: More Work to Stabilize the System
Monetary Policy Shifts Gears
The Fiscal Policy Option
Mexico in Flux: Trouble in the Neighborhood
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
At the Simulation
Tackling the Policy Problems
The Control Room Perspective
Saudi Arabia Coming-of-Age: When Allies Start Going Their Own Way
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
At the Simulation
Tackling the Policy Problems
Outcome
The Control Room Perspective
Brazilian Financial Challenge: Discriminatory Treatment against U.S. Interests
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
At the Simulation
Tackling the Policy Problems
Outcome
The Control Room Perspective
Argentina: Currency Board in Jeopardy
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
At the Simulation
The Control Room Perspective
Financial Market Fallout: SIPC Cash Crunch
Real-World Backdrop
At the Simulation
Tackling the Policy Problems
The Control Room Perspective
Turkey and Contagion: Multiple Loyalties
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
Tackling the Policy Problems
The Control Room Perspective
Dangerous Contraband: Libya, Russia, and Stolen Nuclear Material
Real-World Backdrop
The Story So Far ...
At the Simulation
Tackling the Policy Problems
The Control Room Perspective
Plot Lines Involving China
Real-World Backdrop
Spratly Islands Incident
Devaluation of the Renminbi
Taiwan Independence Debate
Other Plot Lines: Financial Institutions in Difficulty
Troubled U.S. Financial Derivatives Specialist with a Parent British Insurance Company
Asian Conglomerate Seeks to Decapitalize U.S. Affiliate
German Government-Initiated Real Estate Credit Facility
Malaysia Seizes Partnership Shares of Private Malaysian Bank
Lessons and Implications for Policymaking
Reviewing the Real-World Context
Observations from the Simulation
How Best to Organize a Scenario-Based Simulation
The Story So Far ...
Roundtable on Financial Vulnerabilities: List of Participants and Rapporteur's Report (September 1999)
Scenario-Building Roundtable: List of Participants (October 1999)
Simulation Participants (January 2000)
Charts of Movements in Financial Variables during the Simulation
New York Conference Agenda (July 2000)
Chicago Simulation Participants and Summary (September 2000)
Roundtable on Lessons Learned and Policy Implications: List of Participants (November 2000)
Washington, D.C., Conference Agenda (December 2000)
About the Author