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| Foreword | |
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| The Report Team | |
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| Acronyms and Abbreviations | |
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| Overview | |
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| Let Them Fight It Out among Themselves? | |
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| What Can We Do about Ancestral Hatreds? | |
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| The Conflict Trap | |
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| The Rising Global Incidence of Conflict | |
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| Nothing Can Be Done | |
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| Cry Havoc: Why Civil War Matters | |
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| Civil War as Development in Reverse | |
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| Costs during Conflict | |
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| Legacy Effects of Civil War | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| Let Them Fight It Out among Themselves? | |
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| Neighborhood Effects of Civil War | |
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| Global Effects of Civil War | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| What Fuels Civil War? | |
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| What Makes a Country Prone to Civil War? | |
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| Understanding Rebellion | |
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| The Conflict Trap | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| Why Is Civil War So Common? | |
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| Changes in the Global Pattern of Civil War | |
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| Changes in the Incidence of Civil War | |
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| Unpacking the Global Incidence of Civil War | |
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| Conclusion: Poverty and the Conflict Trap | |
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| Policies for Peace | |
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| What Works Where? | |
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| Conflict Prevention in the Successful Developers | |
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| Marginalized Countries at Peace | |
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| Ending Conflicts | |
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| Reducing Postconflict Risks | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| An Agenda for International Action | |
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| Precedents for International Action | |
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| International Policies for Peace | |
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| Conclusion: A New Goal for 2015? | |
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| Methods and Data | |
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| Data Set and Model | |
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| Data Sources | |
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| A Selected Bibliography of Studies of Civil War and Rebellion | |
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| Economic Factors | |
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| Role of Ethnicity and Nationalism | |
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| Anatomy of Rebellion | |
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| Role of the State | |
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| Negotiation and Implementation of Peace | |
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| Bibliography | |
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| References | |
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| Boxes | |
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| Violent conflict and the transformation of social capital | |
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| Refugees and IDPs in Liberia and Sudan | |
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| Angola | |
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| Psychological trauma | |
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| Landmines: A bitter legacy for Cambodians | |
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| Regional arms races | |
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| Eritrea | |
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| Modeling the risk of civil war | |
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| Oil and demands for secession in Nigeria | |
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| Inefficient counterinsurgency measures in Indonesia | |
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| Financing the Chechen rebellion | |