Reducing Uncertainty Intelligence Analysis and National Security

Name: Reducing Uncertainty Intelligence Analysis and National Security
Price: 8.77 USD
Availability: InStock
ISBN: 9780804775946

ISBN-10: 080477594X

ISBN-13: 9780804775946

Edition: 2011

Authors: Thomas Fingar

List price: $25.00

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Description:

The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes. A substantial portion of what we spend--over $50 billion a year--goes to the US Intelligence Community. Reducing Uncertaintydescribes what Intelligence Community analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output. In particular, it looks at why IC analysts pay more attention to threats than to opportunities, and why they appear to focus more on…

Book details

List price: $25.00
Copyright year: 2011
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Publication date: 7/20/2011
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 192
Size: 5.98" wide x 9.02" long x 0.59" tall
Weight: 0.858
Language: English



Acknowledgments



Reducing Uncertainty



Myths, Fears, and Expectations



Spies Collect Data, Analysts Provide Insight



Using Intelligence to Anticipate Opportunities and Shape the Future



Estimative Analysis: What It Is, What It Isn't, and How to Read It



A Tale of Two Estimates



Epilogue: Lessons and Challenges


Notes


Index