Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century The Role of Theory

ISBN-10: 0804769737

ISBN-13: 9780804769730

Edition: 2010

List price: $25.95 Buy it from $23.64
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Description:

This volume provides the most comprehensive and up-to-date collection of theoretical perspectives regarding the sources of and propensity for nuclear proliferation. The authors probe the broader questions of why states pursue or abstain from nuclear weapons, as well as finer methodological issues involving concept definition and development, hypothesis testing, and generalization of findings. They draw upon both the extensive body of qualitative analysis and the inchoate but important work of a quantitative nature. Although the chapters do not all focus specifically on the relationship between one state's nuclear behavior and that of another, collectively the essays provide a better understanding of the limits of reactive proliferation as well as the circumstances under which weapons diffusion is most likely to occur. They also offer compelling arguments about what must be done in order to improve proliferation prognoses and propose new conceptual approaches toward that end.
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Book details

List price: $25.95
Copyright year: 2010
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Publication date: 7/21/2010
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 305
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 0.946
Language: English

Dr. William C. Potter is Director of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) and Sam Nunn and Richard Lugar Professor of Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies.Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova is a research associate at the CNS.

Acknowledgments
Forecasting Proliferation: The Role of Theory, an Introduction
The Study of Nuclear Proliferation and Nonproliferation: Toward a New Consensus?
Domestic Models of Political Survival: Why Some Do and Others Don't (Proliferate)
Beyond the Security Model: Assessing the Capacity of Neoclassical Realism for Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation
Nuclear Latency and Nuclear Proliferation
When Does a State Become a "Nuclear Weapons State"? An Exercise in Measurement Validation
The Little-Known Story of Deproliferation: Why States Give Up Nuclear Weapons Activities
Why Do States Proliferate? Quantitative Analysis of the Exploration, Pursuit, and Acquisition of Nuclear Weapons
A World of Nuclear Powers: A Gedanken Experiment
Notes
Contributors
Index
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