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| Preface | |
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| Introduction | |
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| Underlying vs. Immediate Causes of War | |
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| Definition of Crisis | |
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| Selection of Cases | |
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| Structure of the Book | |
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| The Origins of Crisis | |
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| Justification of Hostility | |
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| Justification of Hostility | |
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| The Tactics of Justifying Hostility | |
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| An Alternative Pattern of Crisis | |
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| Spinoff Crises | |
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| The Origins of Spinoff Crises | |
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| The Politics of Spinoff Crises | |
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| Brinkmanship | |
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| The Goals of Brinkmanship | |
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| The Origins of Brinkmanship | |
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| Commitments and Opportunities | |
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| The Politics of Crisis | |
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| Cognitive Closure and Crisis Politics | |
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| Cognitive Consistency and Misperception | |
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| Decisional Conflicts and Defensive Avoidance | |
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| Cognitive Processes and Decision-Making Pathologies | |
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| Defensive Avoidance and Unconscious Conflict | |
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| The July Crisis: A Case Study | |
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| The Sources of Misperception | |
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| The Politicization of Bureaucracy | |
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| The Primacy of Domestic Politics | |
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| The Role of National Self-Images | |
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| Conclusions | |
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| The Context of Crisis | |
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| The Variety of Military Options | |
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| Fear of Strategic Disadvantage | |
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| Degree of Military Confidence | |
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| Attitude Toward War | |
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| Perceptions of the Inevitability of Conflict | |
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| Prevention vs. Preparation for War | |
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| Crisis Management and Beyond | |
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| Crisis Type and Crisis Outcome | |
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| Stress and Crisis Decision-Making | |
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| The Limitations of Deterrence | |
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| Problems of Coordination and Control | |
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| The Future of Crisis Management | |
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| Crisis and International Relations | |
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| Crisis as a Learning Experience | |
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| Crisis and the Intensification of Hostility | |
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| Crisis and the Amelioration of Hostility: The Fashoda Crisis | |
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| The Lessons of Fashoda and Cuba | |
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| Conclusions | |
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| Thucydides Rebutted | |
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| Name Index | |
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| Subject Index | |