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Modelling Our Future Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation

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ISBN-10: 0762313439

ISBN-13: 9780762313433

Edition: 2007

Authors: Ann Harding, Anil Gupta

List price: $156.95
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The issues associated with population ageing are already assuming prominence in most OECD countries. Many governments are extremely concerned about the likely impact of population ageing upon future government outlays and economic growth. In Australia, for example, there have already been two major government reports that have attempted to quantify the likely implications for government spending of population ageing. These reports have concluded that there will either have to be cuts in current government programs, increases in taxes or some combination of these. The ageing population will also require more health human resources (doctors, nurses, pharmacists etc.), in an environment where the existing workforce itself is ageing. Economic growth is forecast to slow significantly in future decades due to population ageing, reducing government??'s ability to rely on a rapidly growing taxpaying labour force to finance the expected shortfalls. Against this backdrop, volumes 15 and 16 of the International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics Series provide very timely and relevant research for policy makers and researchers across the world. The modelling approaches and research described in the volumes are at the international leading edge, providing insights into how different countries are facing the challenges associated with population ageing. Many countries have developed microsimulation and other models to help them evaluate the impacts of population ageing and of public policy change. Volume 15 concentrates upon the impacts of population ageing upon social security and taxation. For example, the chapters examine likely future pension outlays under current and possiblealternative schemes; estimate the likely wealth of future retirees; forecast tax revenues out to 2026 and look at the impact of population ageing upon housing prices and tourism. *Contains invaluable information that aims to help shape the current and future public policy debates in this area *The authors are established leaders in the field *International in Scope
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Book details

List price: $156.95
Copyright year: 2007
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 525
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 2.244
Language: English

About the Editors
Notes on Contributors
Introduction and Overview
Pension Analysis Using Dynamic Microsimulation
Can We Afford the Future? An Evaluation of the New Swedish Pension System
A Microsimulation Model of Private Sector Pensions in France
Effects of Demographic Developments, Labour Supply and Pension Reforms on the Future Pension Burden in Norway
Macroeconomic Effects of Proposed Pension Reforms in Norway
Adding Private Pensions to the Canadian DYNACAN Model
Post-Secondary Education and Training Participation Rates in Australia in the Next 30 Years: A Microsimulation Approach
Taxes, Benefits and Labour Supply
Lifetime Redistribution Through Taxes, Transfers and Non-Cash Benefits
Income Distribution and Redistribution in a Medium-Term Perspective in Denmark
Population Ageing and Fiscal Sustainability: Integrating Detailed Labour Supply Models with CGE Models
Canadian Retirement Behaviour: A Microeconomic Examination
STINMOD: Use of a Static Microsimulation Model in the Policy Process in Australia
The Impact of Canadian Population Ageing on Federal Personal Income Tax: Microsimulation Results from 2000 to 2026
Basic Income or Vital Minimum? A Note on the Distributive Effects of Possible Reforms of the Spanish Income Tax
Wealth and Services
Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia
Household Net Wealth in New Zealand: Implications for Retirement Incomes
Population Ageing, Housing Demand and House Prices in Australia: A Microsimulation Analysis
Population Ageing and State Concessions Policy
Future Service Provision at the Local Level: Demographic Modelling and Forecasting in the City of Bayside
Characteristics and Travel Patterns of Older Australians: Impact of Population Ageing on Tourism