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Preface | |
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Probability Theory | |
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Basic Set Theory and Mathematical Notation | |
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Probability Spaces | |
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De Morgan's Laws | |
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Interocitors | |
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The Direct Evaluation of Probabilities | |
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Probability as Frequency | |
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Craps | |
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A Marksman Contest | |
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Sampling | |
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Aces Up | |
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Permutations | |
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Combinations and Sampling | |
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Mechanical Defects | |
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Mass Defection | |
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House Rules | |
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The Addition Rule for Probabilities | |
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A Guessing Game | |
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North Island, South Island | |
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Conditional Probability | |
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Bayes' Rule | |
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Extrasensory Perception | |
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Les Cinq Tiroirs | |
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Drug Testing | |
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Color Blindness | |
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Urns | |
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The Monty Hall Game | |
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The Logic of Murder and Abuse | |
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The Principle of Insufficient Reason | |
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The Greens and the Blacks | |
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The Brain and Kidney Problem | |
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The Value of Eyewitness Testimony | |
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When Weakness Is Strength | |
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The Uniform Distribution | |
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Laplace's Law of Succession | |
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From Uniform to Exponential | |
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Bayesian Decision Theory | |
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The Rational Actor Model | |
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Time Consistency and Exponential Discounting | |
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The Expected Utility Principle | |
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Risk and the Shape of the Utility Function | |
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The Scientific Status of the Rational Actor Model | |
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Game Theory: Basic Concepts | |
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Big John and Little John | |
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The Extensive Form | |
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The Normal Form | |
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Mixed Strategies | |
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Nash Equilibrium | |
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The Fundamental Theorem of Game Theory | |
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Solving for Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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Throwing Fingers | |
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Battle of the Sexes | |
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The Hawk-Dove Game | |
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The Prisoner's Dilemma | |
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Eliminating Dominated Strategies | |
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Dominated Strategies | |
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Backward Induction | |
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Exercises in Eliminating Dominated Strategies | |
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Subgame Perfection | |
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Stackelberg Leadership | |
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The Second-Price Auction | |
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The Mystery of Kidnapping | |
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The Eviction Notice | |
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Hagar's Battles | |
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Military Strategy | |
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The Dr. Strangelove Game | |
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Strategic Voting | |
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Nuisance Suits | |
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An Armaments Game | |
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Football Strategy | |
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Poker with Bluffing | |
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The Little Miss Muffet Game | |
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Cooperation with Overlapping Generations | |
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Dominance-Solvable Games | |
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Agent-based Modeling | |
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Why Play a Nash Equilibrium? | |
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Modeling the Finitely-Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma | |
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Review of Basic Concepts | |
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Pure-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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Price Matching as Tacit Collusion | |
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Competition on Main Street | |
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Markets as Disciplining Devices: Allied Widgets | |
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The Tobacco Market | |
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The Klingons and the Snarks | |
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Chess: The Trivial Pastime | |
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No-Draw, High-Low Poker | |
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An Agent-based Model of No-Draw, High-Low Poker | |
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The Truth Game | |
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The Rubinstein Bargaining Model | |
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Bargaining with Heterogeneous Impatience | |
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Bargaining with One Outside Option | |
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Bargaining with Dual Outside Options | |
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Huey, Dewey, and Louie Split a Dollar | |
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Twin Sisters | |
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The Samaritan's Dilemma | |
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The Rotten Kid Theorem | |
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The Shopper and the Fish Merchant | |
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Pure Coordination Games | |
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Pick Any Number | |
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Pure Coordination Games: Experimental Evidence | |
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Introductory Offers | |
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Web Sites (for Spiders) | |
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Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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The Algebra of Mixed Strategies | |
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Lions and Antelope | |
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A Patent Race | |
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Tennis Strategy | |
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Preservation of Ecology Game | |
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Hard Love | |
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Advertising Game | |