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Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools

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ISBN-10: 0538797576

ISBN-13: 9780538797573

Edition: 3rd 2014 (Revised)

Authors: Robert T. Clemen, Terence Reilly

List price: $376.95
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Book details

List price: $376.95
Edition: 3rd
Copyright year: 2014
Publisher: Cengage South-Western
Publication date: 5/24/2013
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 848
Size: 7.64" wide x 9.37" long x 1.46" tall
Weight: 3.344
Language: English

Robert T. Clemen is Professor at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. He has been an active contributor to the field of decision analysis since earning his Ph.D. at Indiana University in 1984 and is an authority in the use of expert information in decision and risk analysis. He has interests in applying decision analysis in the areas of energy use and corporate sustainabiligy. Aside from his research interests, Bob has a strong focus on making decision analysis understandable to all students at all levels, ranging from high school students to executives.

Terence Reilly is an associate Professor of Mathematics at Babson College. His interests include developing innovative curriculum for MBA programs, particularly distance programs, along with simulation and decision analysis. His research interests are in developing sensitivity analysis techniques and fitting distribution curves to univariate and multivariate uncertainties. Recently, he has developed courses in financial methods using simulation and decision analysis.

Introduction to Decision Analysis
Modeling Decisions
Elements of Decision Problems
Structuring Decisions
Making Choices
Sensitivity Analysis
Organizational Decision Making
Modeling Uncertainty
Probability Basics
Subjective Probability
Theoretical Probability Models
Using Data
Monte Carlo Simulation
Value of Information
Real Options
Modeling Preferences
Risk Attitudes
Utility Axioms, Paradoxes, and Implications
Conflicting Objectives I: Fundamental Objectives and the Additive Utility Function
Addictive Utility Function
Conflicting Objectives II: Multiattribute Utility Models with Interactions
Conclusions and Further Reading