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Interpreting Probability Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century

ISBN-10: 0521812518

ISBN-13: 9780521812511

Edition: 2002

Authors: David Howie, Ernest W. Adams, Ken Binmore, Jeremy Butterfield, Persi Diaconis

List price: $129.00
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Description:

The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
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Book details

List price: $129.00
Copyright year: 2002
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Publication date: 8/8/2002
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 276
Size: 6.25" wide x 9.25" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 1.298
Language: English

Persi Diaconis is professor of mathematics and statistics at Stanford University and a professional magician. Ron Graham is professor of mathematics and computer science at the University of California, San Diego, and a professional juggler.

Acknowledgements
Introduction
Probability up to the twentieth century
R. A. Fisher and statistical probability
Harold Jeffreys and inverse probability
The Fisher-Jeffreys exchange, 1932���4
Probability during the 1930s
Epilogue and conclusions
Appendices
Bibliography
Index