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Reviews of the first edition | |
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Preface to the second edition | |
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Introduction | |
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Weather and climate | |
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What do we mean by climate variability and climate change? | |
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Connections, timescales and uncertainties | |
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The big picture | |
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Radiation and the Earth's energy balance | |
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Solar and terrestrial radiation | |
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Solar variability | |
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Summary | |
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The elements of the climate | |
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The atmosphere and oceans in motion | |
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Atmospheric circulation patterns | |
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Radiation balance | |
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The hydrological cycle | |
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The biosphere | |
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Sustained abnormal weather patterns | |
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Atmosphere-ocean interactions | |
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The Great Ocean Conveyor | |
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Summary | |
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The measurement of climate change | |
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In situ instrumental observations | |
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Satellite measurements | |
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Re-analysis work | |
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Historical records | |
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Proxy measurements | |
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Dating | |
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Isotope age dating | |
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Summary | |
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Statistics, significance and cycles | |
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Time series, sampling and harmonic analysis | |
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Noise | |
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Measures of variability and significance | |
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Smoothing | |
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Wavelet analysis | |
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Multidimensional analysis | |
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Summary | |
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The natural causes of climate change | |
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Autovariance and non-linearity | |
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Atmosphere-ocean interactions | |
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Ocean currents | |
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Volcanoes | |
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Sunspots and solar activity | |
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Tidal forces | |
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Orbital variations | |
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Continental drift | |
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Changes in atmospheric composition | |
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A belch from the deep | |
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Catastrophes and the 'nuclear winter' | |
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Summary | |
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Human activities | |
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Greenhouse gas emissions | |
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Dust and aerosols | |
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Desertification and deforestation | |
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The ozone hole | |
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Summary | |
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Evidence of climate change | |
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Peering into the abyss of time | |
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From greenhouse to icehouse | |
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Sea-level fluctuations | |
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The ice ages | |
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The end of the last ice age | |
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The Holocene climatic optimum | |
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Changes during times of recorded history | |
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The medieval climatic optimum | |
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The Little Ice Age | |
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The twentieth-century warming | |
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Concluding observations | |
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Consequences of climate change | |
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Geological consequences | |
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Flora and fauna | |
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Mass extinctions | |
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Sea levels, ice sheets and glaciers | |
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Agriculture | |
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The historical implications of climatic variability | |
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Spread of diseases | |
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The economic impact of extreme weather events | |
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Summary | |
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Modelling the climate | |
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Global circulation models | |
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Simulation of climatic variability | |
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The challenges facing modellers | |
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Summary | |
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Predicting climate change | |
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Natural variability | |
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Predicting global warming | |
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The predicted consequences of global warming | |
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Doubts about the scale of global warming | |
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What can we do about global warming? | |
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The Gaia hypothesis | |
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Glossary | |
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Bibliography | |
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Index | |