Decision Analysis for Management Judgment

Name: Decision Analysis for Management Judgment
Availability: OutOfStock
ISBN: 9780471974963

ISBN-10: 047197496X

ISBN-13: 9780471974963

Edition: 2nd 1998

Authors: Paul Goodwin, George Wright

List price: $79.50

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The last five years have seen the development of new and enhanced techniques in decision analysis. This text on decision analysis for management judgement uses the latest material from a range of disciplines, including statistics and psychology.

Book details

List price: $79.50
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 1998
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated
Publication date: 1/1/1998
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 468
Size: 6.75" wide x 10.00" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 2.090
Language: English



Foreword



Preface



Introduction



How people make decisions involving multiple objectives



Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART



Introduction to probability



Decision making under uncertainty



Decision trees and influence diagrams



Applying simulation to decision problems



Revising judgments in the light of new information



Biases in probability assessment



Methods for eliciting probabilities



Risk and uncertainty management



Decisions involving groups of individuals



Resource allocation and negotiation problems



Decision framing and cognitive inertia



Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty



The analytic hierarchy process



Alternative decision-support systems


Suggested answers to selected questions


Index