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Decision Analysis for Management Judgment

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ISBN-10: 047197496X

ISBN-13: 9780471974963

Edition: 2nd 1998

Authors: Paul Goodwin, George Wright

List price: $79.50
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Description:

The last five years have seen the development of new and enhanced techniques in decision analysis. This text on decision analysis for management judgement uses the latest material from a range of disciplines, including statistics and psychology.
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Book details

List price: $79.50
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 1998
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated
Publication date: 1/1/1998
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 468
Size: 6.75" wide x 10.00" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 2.090
Language: English

Foreword
Preface
Introduction
How people make decisions involving multiple objectives
Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART
Introduction to probability
Decision making under uncertainty
Decision trees and influence diagrams
Applying simulation to decision problems
Revising judgments in the light of new information
Biases in probability assessment
Methods for eliciting probabilities
Risk and uncertainty management
Decisions involving groups of individuals
Resource allocation and negotiation problems
Decision framing and cognitive inertia
Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty
The analytic hierarchy process
Alternative decision-support systems
Suggested answers to selected questions
Index