Business Cycles Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting

Name: Business Cycles Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting
Price: 150.63 USD
Availability: InStock
ISBN: 9780226978901

ISBN-10: 0226978907

ISBN-13: 9780226978901

Edition: 1992

Authors: Victor Zarnowitz

List price: $164.00

This item qualifies for FREE shipping.

30 day, 100% satisfaction guarantee!

Buy new: $150.63

Marketplace

2 new & used from $171.04

what's this?

Rush Rewards U
Members Receive:

You have reached 400 XP and carrot coins. That is the daily max!

Description:

This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting…

Book details

List price: $164.00
Copyright year: 1992
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Publication date: 6/15/1992
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 614
Size: 0.68" wide x 0.87" long x 0.16" tall
Weight: 2.2
Language: English



Acknowledgments


Preface



Theories and Evidence



Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview



Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective



Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations



Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements



Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau



History and Measurement



How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction



Business Cycles and Growth



The Regularity of Business Cycles



Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy



Indicators



Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses



Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators



Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes




Forecasting



On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions



An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts



The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts



Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts



Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction




The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting


References


Author Index


Subject Index