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Deflation How to Survive and Thrive in the Coming Wave of Deflation

ISBN-10: 0071382518

ISBN-13: 9780071382519

Edition: 2002

Authors: A. Gary Shilling

List price: $14.95
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Book details

List price: $14.95
Copyright year: 2002
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Trade
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 342
Size: 5.50" wide x 8.50" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 1.100
Language: English

Economic consultant and investment advisor A. Gary Shilling was born in Fremont, Ohio on May 25, 1937. He graduated magna cum laude from Amherst College in 1960 with an A.B. in physics, and went on to receive an M.A. (1962) and a Ph.D. (1965) in economics from Stanford University. For the first 15 years of his career, Shilling worked as an economist for companies such as Standard Oil, Merrill Lynch, and WW & Co. In 1979, he began his own business, A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc., in Springfield, N.J., and became president of Lakeview Economic Services. Since 1993, he has also been the owner of Lakeview Services, Inc. Shilling was named Top Commodity Trading Advisor by Futures Magazine in 1993 and Wall Street Top Economist (1975 and 1976) by Institutional Investor Magazine. He is a columnist for Forbes, S&P Credit Week, and Nihon Keizai Shimbun Journal, and the creator of The Deflation Game, an economics board game. Shilling has written several books about economics and investment strategies, including Is Inflation Ending? Are You Ready?; The World Has Definitely Changed: New Economic Forces and their Implications for the Next Decade; and After the Crash: Recession or Depression? A. Gary Shilling and his wife, Margaret, whom he married in 1962, have four children, Geoffrey, Andrew, Stephen and Jennifer.

Acknowledgments
Introduction
Government Spending Is Shrinkingp. 3
The Role of Central Banksp. 11
Restructuring in the United States Continuesp. 19
Mergers at Home and Restructuring Abroadp. 30
High Tech Is Deflationaryp. 38
The Internet and Mass Distributionp. 48
Global Deregulationp. 57
Global Sourcing and New Market Economiesp. 63
The Strengthening Dollarp. 69
The Asian Contagionp. 77
Slow Recovery in Asiap. 88
American Consumers Will Save Morep. 100
U.S. Saving Spree, Triggered by a Bear Market, Ensures Deflationp. 110
Deflation Is Self-Feedingp. 129
Deflation and the Kondratieff Wavep. 137
The Two Faces of Deflationp. 144
The Looming Threat of Protectionismp. 157
Western Central Banks and Governments Can't Stop Deflationp. 169
The Coming Era of Good Deflationp. 182
Interest Rates and Profitsp. 192
Bond-Based Investment Strategy for Deflationp. 209
Utilities and Stocks as Deflationary Investmentsp. 221
The Myth of Global Diversificationp. 230
New Technologies Win in Deflationp. 239
Consumer Spending Winnersp. 253
Avoid Commodities and Real Estatep. 262
How to Invest in Deflationp. 279
Market Timing, Stock Exposure, and Leveragep. 290
Twenty-Five Business Strategies for Deflationp. 303
Six Personal Strategies for Deflationp. 320
Indexp. 333
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.