Foreword | p. xiii |
Acknowledgments | p. xix |
Introduction: Life on the Leading Edge | p. 1 |
Selecting Securities | p. 19 |
The Complexity of the Stock Market | p. 25 |
The Evolution of Investment Practice | p. 26 |
Web of Return Regularities | p. 26 |
Disentangling and Purifying Returns | p. 29 |
Advantages of Disentangling | p. 30 |
Evidence of Inefficiency | p. 31 |
Value Modeling in an Inefficient Market | p. 33 |
Risk Modeling versus Return Modeling | p. 34 |
Pure Return Effects | p. 35 |
Anomalous Pockets of Inefficiency | p. 37 |
Empirical Return Regularities | p. 39 |
Modeling Empirical Return Regularities | p. 40 |
Bayesian Random Walk Forecasting | p. 41 |
Conclusion | p. 43 |
Disentangling Equity Return Regularities: New Insights and Investment Opportunities | p. 47 |
Previous Research | p. 48 |
Return Regularities We Consider | p. 55 |
Methodology | p. 59 |
The Results on Return Regularities | p. 61 |
P/E and Size Effects | p. 62 |
Yield, Neglect, Price, and Risk | p. 65 |
Trends and Reversals | p. 67 |
Some Implications | p. 72 |
January versus Rest-of-Year Returns | p. 73 |
Autocorrelation of Return Regularities | p. 77 |
Return Regularities and Their Macroeconomic Linkages | p. 81 |
Conclusion | p. 85 |
On the Value of 'Value' | p. 103 |
Value and Equity Attributes | p. 104 |
Market Psychology, Value, and Equity Attributes | p. 105 |
The Importance of Equity Attributes | p. 108 |
Examining the DDM | p. 110 |
Methodology | p. 110 |
Stability of Equity Attributes | p. 113 |
Expected Returns | p. 114 |
Naive Expected Returns | p. 116 |
Pure Expected Returns | p. 117 |
Actual Returns | p. 118 |
Power of the DDM | p. 120 |
Power of Equity Attributes | p. 120 |
Forecasting DDM Returns | p. 121 |
Conclusion | p. 123 |
Calendar Anomalies: Abnormal Returns at Calendar Turning Points | p. 135 |
The January Effect | p. 136 |
Rationales | p. 137 |
The Turn-of-the-Month Effect | p. 140 |
The Day-of-the-Week Effect | p. 141 |
Rationales | p. 143 |
The Holiday Effect | p. 145 |
The Time-of-Day Effect | p. 148 |
Conclusion | p. 151 |
Forecasting the Size Effect | p. 159 |
The Size Effect | p. 159 |
Size and Transaction Costs | p. 160 |
Size and Risk Measurement | p. 161 |
Size and Risk Premiums | p. 163 |
Size and Other Cross-Sectional Effects | p. 164 |
Size and Calendar Effects | p. 166 |
Modeling the Size Effect | p. 169 |
Simple Extrapolation Techniques | p. 171 |
Time-Series Techniques | p. 173 |
Transfer Functions | p. 175 |
Vector Time-Series Models | p. 176 |
Structural Macroeconomic Models | p. 178 |
Sayesian Vector Time-Series Models | p. 179 |
Earnings Estimates, Predictor Specification, and Measurement Error | p. 193 |
Predictor Specification and Measurement Error | p. 194 |
Alternative Specifications of E/P and Earnings Trend for Screening | p. 196 |
Alternative Specifications of E/P and Trend for Modeling Returns | p. 204 |
Predictor Specification with Missing Values | p. 209 |
Predictor Specification and Analyst Coverage | p. 212 |
The Return-Predictor Relationship and Analyst Coverage | p. 216 |
Summary | p. 221 |
Managing Portfolios | p. 229 |
Engineering Portfolios: A Unified Approach | p. 235 |
Is the Market Segmented or Unified? | p. 236 |
A Unified Model | p. 238 |
A Common Evaluation Framework | p. 240 |
Portfolio Construction and Evaluation | p. 241 |
Engineering "Benchmark" Strategies | p. 242 |
Added Flexibility | p. 243 |
Economies | p. 245 |
The Law of One Alpha | p. 247 |
Residual Risk: How Much Is Too Much? | p. 251 |
Beyond the Curtain | p. 252 |
Some Implications | p. 257 |
High-Definition Style Rotation | p. 263 |
High-Definition Style | p. 267 |
Pure Style Returns | p. 270 |
Implications | p. 272 |
High-Definition Management | p. 276 |
Benefits of High-Definition Style | p. 278 |
Expanding Opportunities | p. 283 |
Long-Short Equity Investing | p. 289 |
Long-Short Equity Strategies | p. 289 |
Societal Advantages of Short-Selling | p. 290 |
Equilibrium Models, Short-Selling, and Security Prices | p. 291 |
Practical Benefits of Long-Short Investing | p. 293 |
Portfolio Payoff Patterns | p. 294 |
Long-Short Mechanics and Returns | p. 297 |
Theoretical Tracking Error | p. 300 |
Advantages of the Market-Neutral Strategy over Long Manager plus Short Manager | p. 301 |
Advantages of the Equitized Strategy over Traditional Long Equity Management | p. 301 |
Implementation of Long-Short Strategies: Quantitative versus Judgmental | p. 303 |
Implementation of Long-Short Strategies: Portfolio Construction Alternatives | p. 303 |
Practical Issues and Concerns | p. 304 |
Shorting Issues | p. 304 |
Trading Issues | p. 305 |
Custody Issues | p. 306 |
Legal Issues | p. 306 |
Morality Issues | p. 307 |
What Asset Class Is Long-Short? | p. 307 |
Concluding Remarks | p. 309 |
20 Myths about Long-Short | p. 311 |
The Long and Short on Long-Short | p. 321 |
Building a Market-Neutral Portfolio | p. 322 |
A Question of Efficiency | p. 326 |
Benefits of Long-Short | p. 328 |
Equitizing Long-Short | p. 331 |
Trading Long-Short | p. 334 |
Evaluating Long-Short | p. 339 |
Long-Short Portfolio Management: An Integrated Approach | p. 349 |
Long-Short: Benefits and Costs | p. 350 |
The Real Benefits of Long-Short | p. 352 |
Costs: Perception versus Reality | p. 353 |
The Optimal Portfolio | p. 355 |
Neutral Portfolios | p. 358 |
Optimal Equitization | p. 361 |
Conclusion | p. 364 |
Alpha Transport with Derivatives | p. 369 |
Asset Allocation or Security Selection | p. 370 |
Asset Allocation and Security Selection | p. 372 |
Transporter Malfunctions | p. 374 |
Matter-Antimatter Warp Drive | p. 377 |
To Boldly Go | p. 379 |
Index | p. 381 |
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