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Map and the Territory Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

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ISBN-10: 1594204810

ISBN-13: 9781594204814

Edition: N/A

Authors: Alan Greenspan

List price: $36.00
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Description:

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us?To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future…    
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Book details

List price: $36.00
Publisher: Penguin Publishing Group
Publication date: 10/22/2013
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 400
Size: 6.50" wide x 9.75" long x 1.25" tall
Weight: 1.430
Language: English

Introduction
Animal Spirits
The Crisis Begins, Intensifies, and Abates
The Roots of Crisis
Stock Prices and Equity Stimulus
Finance and Regulation
Schooner Intelligence and then Some
Uncertainty Undermines Investment
Productivity: The Ultimate Measure of Economic Success
Productivity and the Age of Entitlements
Culture
The Onset of Globalization, Income Inequality, and the Rise of the Gini and the Crony
Money and Inflation
Buffers
The Bottom Line
Acknowledgments
Appendices
Notes
Index