Prediction Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature

Name: Prediction Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature
Availability: OutOfStock
ISBN: 9781559637763

ISBN-10: 1559637765

ISBN-13: 9781559637763

Edition: 2nd 2000

Authors: Stanley A. Changnon, Daniel Sarewitz, Rob Ravenscroft, Orrin H. Pilkey, Shirley Mattingly

List price: $45.00

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Description:

Based upon ten case studies, Prediction explores how science-based predictions guide policy making and what this means in terms of global warming, biogenetically modifying organisms and polluting the environment with chemicals.

Book details

List price: $45.00
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 2000
Publisher: Island Press
Publication date: 4/1/2000
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 400
Size: 6.00" wide x 8.75" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 1.232
Language: English



List of Figures


List of Tables and Boxes


Acknowledgments


Introduction: Death, Taxes, and Environmental Policy




Prediction as a Problem



Prediction in Science and Policy




Why Predict? Historical Perspectives on Prediction in Earth Science




Uncertainty, Judgment, and Error in Prediction




Disasters Waiting to Happen: Predicting Natural Hazards



Short-Term Weather Prediction: An Orchestra in Need of a Conductor




Flood Prediction: Immersed in the Quagmire of National Flood Mitigation Strategy




The Asteroid/Comet Impact Hazard: Homo Sapiens as Dinosaur?




Predicting Earthquakes: Science, Pseudoscience, and Public Policy Paradox




Foreordained Conclusions: Prediction and Politics



What You Know Can Hurt You: Predicting the Behavior of Nourished Beaches




Is This Number to Your Liking? Water Quality Predictions in Mining Impact Studies




From Tin Roof to Torn Wet Blanket: Predicting and Observing Groundwater Movement at a Proposed Nuclear Waste Site




Cascades of Uncertainty: Prediction and Policy



Oil and Gas Resource Appraisal: Diminishing Reserves, Increasing Supplies




Predictive Modeling of Acid Rain: Obstacles to Generating Useful Information




Prediction and Other Approaches to Climate Change Policy




Prediction in Perspective



Alternatives to Prediction




Prediction in Society




Prediction and Characteristic Times




A Decision Framework for Prediction in Environmental Policy




Conclusion



Decision Making and the Future of Nature: Understanding and Using Predictions



About the Contributors


Index