Making Better Decisions Decision Theory in Practice

ISBN-10: 1444336525
ISBN-13: 9781444336528
Edition: 2010
Authors: Itzhak Gilboa
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Book details

Copyright year: 2010
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Limited
Publication date: 10/1/2010
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 232
Size: 8.00" wide x 9.00" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 0.792
Language: English

Robert Dunham founded the Institute for Generative Leadership and the consulting company Enterprise Performance.Itzhak Gilboa is Professor of Economics and Decision Sciences at HEC (�cole des Hautes �tudes Commerciales), Paris, and Professor of Economics at Berglas School of Economics, Tel Aviv University. He is the coauthor (with David Schmeidler) of Theory of Case-Based Decisions and the author of Theory of Decision under Uncertainty.

Preface
Acknowledgments
Background
Suggested Reading
Judgment and Choice Biases
Introduction
Problems - Group A
Problems - Group B
Framing Effects
Brainstorming and Formal Models
Endowment Effect
Sunk Costs
Decision Trees
Representativeness Heuristic
Availability Heuristic
Anchoring
Mental Accounting
Dynamic Inconsistency
Exercises
Consuming Statistical Data
Introduction
Problems
Conditional Probabilities
Gambler's Fallacy
Biased Samples
Regression to the Mean
Correlation and Causation
Statistical Significance
Bayesian and Classical Statistics
Exercises
Decisions under Risk
Introduction
Problems
The Independence Axiom
Von Neumann and Morgenstern's Result
Measurement of Utility
Risk Aversion
Prospect Theory
Exercises
Decisions under Uncertainty
Introduction
Problems
Subjective Probability
Learning From the Fact We Know
Causality
The Sure Thing Principle
Alternative Models
Objective Probabilities
Exercises
Well-Being and Happiness
Introduction
Problems - Group A
Problems - Group B
Well-Being
Measurement Issues
What's Happiness?
Exercises
Optimal Choice
Probability and Statistics
Solutions
Index

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