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Decision-Making for Technology Executives Using Multiple Perspectives to Improve Performance

ISBN-10: 0890064032
ISBN-13: 9780890064030
Edition: 1999
List price: $105.00 Buy it from $6.99
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Book details

List price: $105.00
Copyright year: 1999
Publisher: Artech House
Binding: Hardcover
Pages: 317
Size: 6.50" wide x 9.50" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 1.298
Language: English

Harold A. Linstone received his doctorate in mathematics from the University of Southern California. Linstone is University Professor Emeritus of Systems Science at Portland State University and editor-in-chief of Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Author and co-author of several other books in the field, he has 20 years of industrial experience at Hughes Aircraft Company and Lockheed Aircraft Corporation. Dr. Linstone has also served as visiting Scientist at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Austria and Visiting Professor at the Universitites of Rome, Wasington, and Kiel.

Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgments
Contributors
Introduction
References
The Usual Perspective and Its Limitations
The Problem-Solution View
Optimization or the "Best" Solution Search
Reductionism
Reliance on Data and Models
Quantification
Objectivity
Ignoring or Avoiding the Individual
Perceptions of Time
References
Our Proposed Perspectives
Introduction
The Technical Perspective
The Organizational Perspective
The Personal Perspective
T + O + P: Characteristics and Comparisons
Integration of Perspectives
Linkages and the Interactions of Perspectives
Other Perspectives
Acknowledgments
References
Illustrations from the Public Sector
Military Technology
Local Crisis: The Mount St. Helens Eruption (Clary)
Denver International Airport (Szyliowicz and Goetz)
Other Cultural Contexts
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References
Illustrations from the Private Sector
The Willamette Falls Hydroelectric Project (Hawke)
Electronic System Market: Failure of a Strategy (Cook)
Commercial Aircraft: The Wide-Body Trijets
Trading: The Stock Market
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References
Technology: Risk and Assessment
Perspectives on Risk
The Alaska Oil Spill
The Bhopal Chemical Accident (Bowonder and Linstone)
On the Nuclear Accidents
Implications and Prospects
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References
Technology: Forecasting and Planning
The Discounting Dilemma
Forecasting
Planning
Acknowledgments
References
Looking Ahead: Complexity Science, Chaos, and Multiple Perspectives
Complex Adaptive Systems
Limits on Forecasting
Modeling
Perspectives on Business Organizations
Areas of Research
Closing Comments
References
Guidelines for the User
Seven Guidelines (Linstone and Meltsner)
Sample Work Plan
Coda
Acknowledgments
References
Appendix
Interaction Mapping: Digraphs
Multiattribute/Multiparty Decision Structure
Assumptional Analysis
Delphi
Additional Guidelines for O and P Development
Basic Procedure
On Interviewing
Acknowledgments
References
About the Author
Index

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