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| Tables and Illustrations | |
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| Introduction | |
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| Acknowledgments | |
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| Explaining Republican Ascendancy | |
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| Previous Research: Before Republican Ascendancy | |
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| Previous Research: After Republican Ascendancy | |
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| Sizing Up the Literature | |
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| A Theoretical Explanation for the Rise of Southern Republicans | |
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| Notes | |
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| The Dynamics of Party Identification | |
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| Party Identification: Not Always the "Unmoved Mover" | |
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| Changing Political Affiliations of Southern Whites | |
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| Issue Evolution and Partisan Change | |
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| Voters | |
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| Candidates | |
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| The Voting Rights Act, Its Reinforcement of Issue Evolution, and Conflict Extension | |
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| Growing Republican Identification of Southern Whites | |
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| Party Identification and Generational Replacement | |
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| Factors Affecting Party Identification | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| Notes | |
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| Electoral Effects of Redistricting | |
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| The Partisan Impact of Redistricting | |
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| The First Partisan Effect: Racial Redistricting | |
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| The Second Partisan Effect: The Behavior of Redrawn Voters | |
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| The Political Geography of Southern Congressional Elections | |
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| Partisan Impact of Redistricting in the 1992-1994 U.S. House Elections | |
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| Partisan Impact of Redistricting in the 2002 U.S. House Elections | |
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| Partisan Impact of Redistricting in Texas' 2004 U.S. House Elections | |
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| A Case Study of Texas 19 in the 2004 U.S. House Election | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| Notes | |
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| Republican Candidate Emergence | |
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| Competitiveness | |
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| The Changing Political Opportunity Structure | |
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| Money and Candidate Viability | |
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| Emergence Patterns in Normal- and High-Opportunity Elections | |
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| Primary Elections | |
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| General Elections | |
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| Conclusion | |
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| Notes | |
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| National Implications of Southern Republican Ascendancy | |
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| This Ain't Your Daddy's Dixie | |
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| The South and Partisan Polarization | |
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| The New Democratic Majority and the South | |
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| Short- and Long-Term Perspectives on the 2006 and 2008 Elections | |
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| Notes | |
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| The Future of Southern Congressional Politics | |
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| Racial and Ethnic Change | |
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| Reapportionment and Redistricting | |
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| Performance in Office | |
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| The End of Southern Exceptionalism? | |
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| Concluding Remarks | |
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| Notes | |
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| Documentation of Data Sources | |
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| Chapter 3 Supplementary Analysis | |
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| Chapter 4 Supplementary Tables | |
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| References | |
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| Index | |