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Introduction | |
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About This Book | |
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Conventions Used in This Book | |
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Foolish Assumptions | |
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How This Book Is Organized | |
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Icons Used in This Book | |
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Where to Go from Here | |
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Vital Statistics about Statistics | |
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The Statistics of Everyday Life | |
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Statistics and the Media Blitz: More Questions than Answers? | |
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Using Statistics at Work | |
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Statistics Gone Wrong | |
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Taking Control: So Many Numbers, So Little Time | |
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Detecting Errors, Exaggerations, and Just Plain Lies | |
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Feeling the Impact of Misleading Statistics | |
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Tools of the Trade | |
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Statistics: More than Just Numbers | |
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Grabbing Some Basic Statistical Jargon | |
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Number-Crunching Basics | |
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Getting the Picture: Charts and Graphs | |
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Getting Graphic with Statistics | |
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Getting a Piece of the Pie Chart | |
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Raising the Bar on Bar Graphs | |
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Putting Statistics on the Table | |
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Keeping Pace with Time Charts | |
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Picturing Data with a Histogram | |
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Means, Medians, and More | |
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Summing Up Data with Statistics | |
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Summarizing Categorical Data | |
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Summarizing Numerical Data | |
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Determining the Odds | |
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What Are the Chances? Understanding Probability | |
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Taking a Chance with Probability | |
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Gaining the Edge: Probability Basics | |
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Interpreting Probability | |
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Avoiding Probability Misconceptions | |
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Connecting Probability with Statistics | |
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Gambling to Win | |
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Betting on the House: Why Casinos Stay in Business | |
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Knowing a Little Probability Helps a Lotto | |
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Wading through the Results | |
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Measures of Relative Standing | |
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Straightening Out the Bell Curve | |
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Converting to a Standard Score | |
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Sizing Up Results Using Percentiles | |
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Caution: Sample Results Vary! | |
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Expecting Sample Results to Vary | |
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Measuring Variability in Sample Results | |
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Examining Factors That Influence Variability in Sample Results | |
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Leaving Room for a Margin of Error | |
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Exploring the Importance of That Plus or Minus | |
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Finding the Margin of Error: A General Formula | |
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Determining the Impact of Sample Size | |
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Limiting the Margin of Error | |
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Guesstimating with Confidence | |
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The Business of Estimation: Interpreting and Evaluating Confidence Intervals | |
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Realizing That Not All Estimates Are Created Equal | |
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Linking a Statistic to a Parameter | |
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Making Your Best Guesstimate | |
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Interpreting Results with Confidence | |
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Spotting Misleading Confidence Intervals | |
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Calculating Accurate Confidence Intervals | |
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Calculating a Confidence Interval | |
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Choosing a Confidence Level | |
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Zooming In on Width | |
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Factoring In the Sample Size | |
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Counting On Population Variability | |
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Commonly Used Confidence Intervals: Formulas and Examples | |
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Calculating the Confidence Interval for the Population Mean | |
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Determining the Confidence Interval for the Population Proportion | |
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Developing a Confidence Interval for the Difference of Two Means | |
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Coming Up with the Confidence Interval for the Difference of Two Proportions | |
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Putting a Claim to the (Hypothesis) Test | |
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Claims, Tests, and Conclusions | |
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Responding to Claims: Some Do's and Don'ts | |
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Doing a Hypothesis Test | |
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Weighing the Evidence and Making Decisions: P-Values | |
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Knowing That You Could Be Wrong: Errors in Testing | |
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Walking through a Hypothesis Test: The Big Picture | |
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Commonly Used Hypothesis Tests: Formulas and Examples | |
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Testing One Population Mean | |
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Testing One Population Proportion | |
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Comparing Two (Separate) Population Averages | |
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Testing for an Average Difference (Paired Data) | |
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Comparing Two Population Proportions | |
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Statistical Studies: The Inside Scoop | |
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Polls, Polls, and More Polls | |
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Recognizing the Impact of Polls | |
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Behind the Scenes: The Ins and Outs of Surveys | |
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Experiments: Medical Breakthroughs or Misleading Results? | |
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Determining What Sets Experiments Apart | |
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Designing a Good Experiment | |
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Making Informed Decisions about Experiments | |
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Looking for Links: Correlations and Associations | |
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Picturing the Relationship: Plots and Charts | |
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Quantifying the Relationship: Correlations and Other Measures | |
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Explaining the Relationship: Association and Correlation versus Causation | |
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Making Predictions: Regression and Other Methods | |
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Statistics and Toothpaste: Quality Control | |
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Full-Filling Expectations | |
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Squeezing Quality out of a Toothpaste Tube | |
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The Part of Tens | |
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Ten Criteria for a Good Survey | |
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The Target Population Is Well Defined | |
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The Sample Matches the Target Population | |
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The Sample Is Randomly Selected | |
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The Sample Size Is Large Enough | |
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Good Follow-Up Minimizes Non-Response | |
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The Type of Survey Used Is Appropriate | |
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The Questions Are Well Worded | |
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The Survey Is Properly Timed | |
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The Survey Personnel Are Well Trained | |
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The Survey Answers the Original Question | |
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Ten Common Statistical Mistakes | |
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Misleading Graphs | |
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Biased Data | |
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No Margin of Error | |
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Non-Random Samples | |
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Missing Sample Sizes | |
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Misinterpreted Correlations | |
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Confounding Variables | |
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Botched Numbers | |
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Selectively Reporting Results | |
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The Almighty Anecdote | |
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Sources | |
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Index | |