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| Preface | |
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| Probability Theory | |
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| Basic Set Theory and Mathematical Notation | |
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| Probability Spaces | |
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| De Morgan's Laws | |
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| Interocitors | |
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| The Direct Evaluation of Probabilities | |
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| Probability as Frequency | |
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| Craps | |
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| A Marksman Contest | |
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| Sampling | |
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| Aces Up | |
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| Permutations | |
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| Combinations and Sampling | |
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| Mechanical Defects | |
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| Mass Defection | |
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| House Rules | |
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| The Addition Rule for Probabilities | |
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| A Guessing Game | |
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| North Island, South Island | |
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| Conditional Probability | |
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| Bayes' Rule | |
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| Extrasensory Perception | |
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| Les Cinq Tiroirs | |
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| Drug Testing | |
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| Color Blindness | |
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| Urns | |
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| The Monty Hall Game | |
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| The Logic of Murder and Abuse | |
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| The Principle of Insufficient Reason | |
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| The Greens and the Blacks | |
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| The Brain and Kidney Problem | |
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| The Value of Eyewitness Testimony | |
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| When Weakness Is Strength | |
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| The Uniform Distribution | |
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| Laplace's Law of Succession | |
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| From Uniform to Exponential | |
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| Bayesian Decision Theory | |
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| The Rational Actor Model | |
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| Time Consistency and Exponential Discounting | |
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| The Expected Utility Principle | |
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| Risk and the Shape of the Utility Function | |
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| The Scientific Status of the Rational Actor Model | |
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| Game Theory: Basic Concepts | |
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| Big John and Little John | |
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| The Extensive Form | |
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| The Normal Form | |
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| Mixed Strategies | |
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| Nash Equilibrium | |
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| The Fundamental Theorem of Game Theory | |
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| Solving for Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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| Throwing Fingers | |
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| Battle of the Sexes | |
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| The Hawk-Dove Game | |
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| The Prisoner's Dilemma | |
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| Eliminating Dominated Strategies | |
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| Dominated Strategies | |
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| Backward Induction | |
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| Exercises in Eliminating Dominated Strategies | |
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| Subgame Perfection | |
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| Stackelberg Leadership | |
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| The Second-Price Auction | |
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| The Mystery of Kidnapping | |
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| The Eviction Notice | |
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| Hagar's Battles | |
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| Military Strategy | |
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| The Dr. Strangelove Game | |
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| Strategic Voting | |
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| Nuisance Suits | |
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| An Armaments Game | |
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| Football Strategy | |
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| Poker with Bluffing | |
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| The Little Miss Muffet Game | |
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| Cooperation with Overlapping Generations | |
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| Dominance-Solvable Games | |
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| Agent-based Modeling | |
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| Why Play a Nash Equilibrium? | |
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| Modeling the Finitely-Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma | |
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| Review of Basic Concepts | |
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| Pure-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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| Price Matching as Tacit Collusion | |
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| Competition on Main Street | |
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| Markets as Disciplining Devices: Allied Widgets | |
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| The Tobacco Market | |
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| The Klingons and the Snarks | |
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| Chess: The Trivial Pastime | |
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| No-Draw, High-Low Poker | |
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| An Agent-based Model of No-Draw, High-Low Poker | |
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| The Truth Game | |
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| The Rubinstein Bargaining Model | |
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| Bargaining with Heterogeneous Impatience | |
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| Bargaining with One Outside Option | |
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| Bargaining with Dual Outside Options | |
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| Huey, Dewey, and Louie Split a Dollar | |
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| Twin Sisters | |
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| The Samaritan's Dilemma | |
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| The Rotten Kid Theorem | |
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| The Shopper and the Fish Merchant | |
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| Pure Coordination Games | |
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| Pick Any Number | |
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| Pure Coordination Games: Experimental Evidence | |
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| Introductory Offers | |
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| Web Sites (for Spiders) | |
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| Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibria | |
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| The Algebra of Mixed Strategies | |
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| Lions and Antelope | |
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| A Patent Race | |
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| Tennis Strategy | |
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| Preservation of Ecology Game | |
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| Hard Love | |
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| Advertising Game | |