Steps to War An Empirical Study

ISBN-10: 0691138923
ISBN-13: 9780691138923
Edition: 2008
List price: $27.95
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Description: The question of what causes war has concerned statesmen since the time of Thucydides.The Steps to Warutilizes new data on militarized interstate disputes from 1816 to 2001 to identify the factors that increase the probability that a crisis will  More...

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Book details

List price: $27.95
Copyright year: 2008
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Publication date: 8/10/2008
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 336
Size: 6.50" wide x 9.50" long x 1.00" tall
Weight: 1.056

The question of what causes war has concerned statesmen since the time of Thucydides.The Steps to Warutilizes new data on militarized interstate disputes from 1816 to 2001 to identify the factors that increase the probability that a crisis will escalate to war. In this book, Paul Senese and John Vasquez test one of the major behavioral explanations of war--the steps to war--by identifying the various factors that put two states at risk for war. Focusing on the era of classic international politics from 1816 to 1945, the Cold War, and the post-Cold War period, they look at the roles of territorial disputes, alliances, rivalry, and arms races and show how the likelihood of war increases significantly as these risk factors are combined. Senese and Vasquez argue that war is more likely in the presence of these factors because they increase threat perception and put both sides into a security dilemma. The Steps to Warcalls into question certain prevailing realist beliefs, like peace through strength, demonstrating how threatening to use force and engaging in power politics is more likely to lead to war than to peace.

List of Figures and Tables ix
Preface
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Foundations
The Steps to War
The Evolution of a Research Program: Research Design
Territory and War
From Territorial Claims to Territorial Disputes: Testing for Selection Effects
Territory, Contiguity, and Their Interaction: A Contingent Model of Interstate Conflict
Power Politics and War
The Probability of War between Nation-States
The Probability of Crisis Escalation
Exploring Interactions in the Steps to War
Conclusion
Explaining War, Thinking about Peace
References
Name Index
Subject Index

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