Peace Time Cease-Fire Agreements and the Durability of Peace

ISBN-10: 0691115125
ISBN-13: 9780691115122
Edition: 2004
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Description: Why do cease-fire agreements sometimes last for years while others flounder barely long enough to be announced? How to maintain peace in the aftermath of war is arguably one of the most important questions of the post--Cold War era. And yet it is  More...

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Book details

List price: $37.50
Copyright year: 2004
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Publication date: 3/21/2004
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 264
Size: 6.00" wide x 9.00" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 0.836
Language: English

Why do cease-fire agreements sometimes last for years while others flounder barely long enough to be announced? How to maintain peace in the aftermath of war is arguably one of the most important questions of the post--Cold War era. And yet it is one of the least explored issues in the study of war and peace. Here, Page Fortna offers the first comprehensive analysis of why cease-fires between states succeed or fail. She develops cooperation theory to argue that mechanisms within these agreements can help maintain peace by altering the incentives for war and peace, reducing uncertainty, and helping to prevent or manage accidents that could lead to war. To test this theory, the book first explores factors, such as decisive victory and prior history of conflict, that affect the baseline prospects for peace. It then considers whether stronger cease-fires are likely to be implemented in the hardest or the easiest cases. Next, through both quantitative and qualitative testing of the effects of cease-fire agreements, firm evidence emerges that agreements do matter. Durable peace is harder to achieve after some wars than others, but when most difficult, states usually invest more in peace building. These efforts work. Strong agreements markedly lessen the risk of further war. Mechanisms such as demilitarized zones, dispute resolution commissions, peacekeeping, and external guarantees can help maintain peace between even the deadliest of foes.

List of Figures and Maps
List of Tables
Acknowledgments
Introduction
A Theory of Agreements and the Durability of Peace
Investigating the Durability of Peace
The Baseline Prospects for Peace
Agreements: Epiphenomenal or Functional?
Agreements and the Durability of Peace
Peace Mechanisms: What Works and What Doesn't?
Conclusion
Cease-Fires and the Resumption of War
Cease-Fires Data Set
References
Index

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