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| List of Contributors | |
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| Preface | |
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| Introduction - Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now | |
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| Theoretical and Empirical Extensions | |
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| Representativeness and Availability | |
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| Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment | |
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| Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment | |
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| How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgments | |
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| Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery | |
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| The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information | |
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| Anchoring, Contamination, and Compatibility | |
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| Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value | |
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| Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic | |
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| Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They "Should" | |
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| Inferential Correction | |
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| Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem | |
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| Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity "Heuristics" | |
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| Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice | |
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| Forecasting, Confidence, and Calibration | |
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| The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence | |
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| Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions | |
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| Probability Judgment across Cultures | |
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| Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting | |
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| Optimism | |
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| Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions | |
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| Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability | |
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| When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism | |
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| Norms and Counterfactuals | |
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| Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives | |
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| Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself | |
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| New Theoretical Directions | |
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| Two Systems of Reasoning | |
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| Two Systems of Reasoning | |
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| The Affect Heuristic | |
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| Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? | |
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| Support Theory | |
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| Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability | |
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| Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory | |
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| Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions | |
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| Alternative Perspectives on Heuristics | |
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| The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning | |
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| Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies | |
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| Automated Choice Heuristics | |
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| How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics? | |
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| Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors | |
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| Real-World Applications | |
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| Everyday Judgment and Behavior | |
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| The Hot Hand in Basketball: on the Misperception of Random Sequences | |
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| Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs | |
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| When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists | |
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| Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives | |
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| Expert Judgment | |
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| Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants | |
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| Do Analysts Overreact? | |
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| The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory | |
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| Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment | |
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| Heuristics and Biases in Application | |
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| Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics | |
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| References | |
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| Index | |