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Emergence of Probability A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas about Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference

ISBN-10: 0521685575
ISBN-13: 9780521685573
Edition: 2nd 2006 (Revised)
Authors: Ian Hacking
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Description: Historical records show that there was no real concept of probability in Europe before the mid-seventeenth century, although the use of dice and other randomizing objects was commonplace. Ian Hacking presents a philosophical critique of early ideas  More...

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Book details

Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 2006
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Publication date: 7/31/2006
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 246
Size: 6.00" wide x 8.75" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 0.880
Language: English

Historical records show that there was no real concept of probability in Europe before the mid-seventeenth century, although the use of dice and other randomizing objects was commonplace. Ian Hacking presents a philosophical critique of early ideas about probability, induction, and statistical inference and the growth of this new family of ideas in the fifteenth, sixteenth, and seventeenth centuries. The contemporary debates center around figures such as Pascal, Leibniz, and Jacques Bernoulli. Hacking invokes a wider intellectual framework involving the growth of science, economics, and the theology of the period. He argues that the transformations that made it possible for probability concepts to emerge have constrained all subsequent development of probability theory and determine the space within which philosophical debate on the subject is still conducted. First published in 1975, this edition includes a new introduction that contextualizes his book in light of new work and philosophical trends.

Ian Hacking is University Professor Emeritus at the University of Toronto. He holds the chair of Philosophy and History of Concepts at the College de France. Among his many books, the most recent is Rewriting the Soul.

An absent family of ideas
Duality
Opinion
Evidence
Signs
The first calculations
The Roannez circle (1654)
The great decision (1658?)
The art of thinking (1662)
Probability and the law (1665)
Expectation (1657)
Political arithmetic (1662)
Annuities (1671)
Equipossibility (1678)
Inductive logic
The art of conjecturing (1692[?] published 1713)
The first limit theorem
Design
Induction (1737)
Bibliography
Index

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