Economy and the Vote Economic Conditions and Elections in Fifteen Countries

ISBN-10: 0521682339
ISBN-13: 9780521682336
Edition: 2007
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Description: Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A  More...

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Book details

List price: $35.99
Copyright year: 2007
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Publication date: 4/30/2007
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 246
Size: 6.00" wide x 8.75" long x 0.50" tall
Weight: 0.748
Language: English

Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.

Wouter van der Brug is associate professor in methods for the social sciences at the Amsterdam School for Communications Research, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. His work has been published in Comparative Political Studies, the British Journal of Political Science, the European Journal of Political Research, Electoral Studies, Party Politics, the Journal of Theoretical Politics, West European Politics, and Acta Politica. He recently co-authored European Elections and Domestic Politics (with Cees van der Eijk, 2007).

Preface
Introduction
Studying Economic Voting
Party Choice as a Two-Stage Process
Hypotheses and Data: The Theoretical and Empirical Setting
Effects of the Economy on Party Support
The Economic Voter
From Individual Preferences to Election Outcomes
The Economy, Party Competition, and the Vote Epilogue: Where to Go from Here in the Study of Economic Voting?
The Surveys Employed in This Book
Detailed Results Not Reported in the Main Text
References
Index

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