| |
| |
List of figures | |
| |
| |
Preface | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset markets and asset prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Capital markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset price determination: an introduction | |
| |
| |
| |
The role of expectations | |
| |
| |
| |
Performance risk, margins and short-selling | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage | |
| |
| |
| |
The role of time | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset market efficiency | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Averages and indexes of stock prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Real rates of return | |
| |
| |
| |
Continuous compounding and the force of interest | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset market microstructure | |
| |
| |
| |
Financial markets: functions and participants | |
| |
| |
| |
Trading mechanisms | |
| |
| |
| |
Industrial organization of financial markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Trading and asset prices in a call market | |
| |
| |
| |
Bid-ask spreads: inventory-based models | |
| |
| |
| |
Bid-ask spreads: information-based models | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Predictability of prices and market efficiency | |
| |
| |
| |
Using the past to predict the future | |
| |
| |
| |
Informational efficiency | |
| |
| |
| |
Patterns of information | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset market anomalies | |
| |
| |
| |
Event studies | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
The law of iterated expectations and martingales | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Decision making under uncertainty | |
| |
| |
| |
The state-preference approach | |
| |
| |
| |
The expected utility hypothesis | |
| |
| |
| |
Behavioural alternatives to the EUH | |
| |
| |
| |
The mean-variance model | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Useful notation | |
| |
| |
| |
Derivation of the FVR | |
| |
| |
| |
Implications of complete asset markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Quadratic von Neumann-Morgenstern utility | |
| |
| |
| |
The FVR in the mean-variance model | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Portfolio selection: the mean-variance model | |
| |
| |
| |
Mean-variance analysis: concepts and notation | |
| |
| |
| |
Portfolio frontier: two risky assets | |
| |
| |
| |
Portfolio frontier: many risky assets and no risk-free asset | |
| |
| |
| |
Portfolio frontier: many risky assets with a risk-free asset | |
| |
| |
| |
Optimal portfolio selection in the mean-variance model | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Numerical example: two risky assets | |
| |
| |
| |
Variance minimization: risky assets only | |
| |
| |
| |
Variance minimization with a risk-free asset | |
| |
| |
| |
Derivation of [Delta sigma subscript P] = [beta subscript jP sigma subscript P Delta]a[subscript j] | |
| |
| |
| |
The optimal portfolio with a single risky asset | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
The capital asset pricing model | |
| |
| |
| |
Assumptions of the CAPM | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset market equilibrium | |
| |
| |
| |
The characteristic line and the market model | |
| |
| |
| |
The security market line | |
| |
| |
| |
Risk premia and diversification | |
| |
| |
| |
Extensions | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
The CAPM in terms of asset prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Linear dependence of [epsilon subscript j] in the CAPM | |
| |
| |
| |
The CAPM when all assets are risky | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage in theory and practice | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage in an uncertain world | |
| |
| |
| |
State prices and the risk-neutral valuation relationship | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Implications of the arbitrage principle | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Factor models and the arbitrage pricing theory | |
| |
| |
| |
Factor models | |
| |
| |
| |
APT | |
| |
| |
| |
Predictions of the APT | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
The APT in a multifactor model | |
| |
| |
| |
The APT in an exact single-factor model | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Empirical appraisal of the CAPM and APT | |
| |
| |
| |
The CAPM | |
| |
| |
| |
Tests of the CAPM: time series | |
| |
| |
| |
Tests of the CAPM: cross-sections | |
| |
| |
| |
Sharpe ratios and Roll's criticism | |
| |
| |
| |
Multiple-factor models and the APT | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
The Black CAPM in terms of excess returns | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Present value relationships and price variability | |
| |
| |
| |
Net present value | |
| |
| |
| |
Asset price volatility | |
| |
| |
| |
Behavioural finance, noise trading and models of dividend growth | |
| |
| |
| |
Extreme asset price fluctuations | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Present values in continuous time | |
| |
| |
| |
Infinitely lived assets: constant growth | |
| |
| |
| |
The RNVR with multiple time periods | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Intertemporal choice and the equity premium puzzle | |
| |
| |
| |
Consumption and investment in a two-period world with certainty | |
| |
| |
| |
Uncertainty, multiple assets and long time horizons | |
| |
| |
| |
Lifetime portfolio selection | |
| |
| |
| |
The equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle | |
| |
| |
| |
Intertemporal capital asset pricing models | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Intertemporal consumption and portfolio selection | |
| |
| |
| |
Simplifying the FVR | |
| |
| |
| |
The consumption CAPM | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Bond markets and fixed-interest securities | |
| |
| |
| |
What defines a bond? | |
| |
| |
| |
Zero-coupon bonds | |
| |
| |
| |
Coupon-paying bonds | |
| |
| |
| |
Bond valuation | |
| |
| |
| |
Risks in bond portfolios | |
| |
| |
| |
Immunization of bond portfolios | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Some algebra of bond yields | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Term structure of interest rates | |
| |
| |
| |
Yield curves | |
| |
| |
| |
Index-linked bonds | |
| |
| |
| |
Implicit forward rates | |
| |
| |
| |
The expectations hypothesis of the term structure | |
| |
| |
| |
Allowing for risk preferences in the term structure | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage and the term structure | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
The expectations hypothesis with explicit uncertainty | |
| |
| |
| |
Risk aversion and bond portfolios | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Futures markets I: fundamentals | |
| |
| |
| |
Forward contracts and futures contracts | |
| |
| |
| |
The operation of futures markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage between spot and forward prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Arbitrage in foreign exchange markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Repo markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary and conclusion | |
| |
| |
| |
Forward and futures prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Revaluation of a forward contract | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Futures markets II: speculation and hedging | |
| |
| |
| |
Speculation | |
| |
| |
| |
Hedging strategies | |
| |
| |
| |
Optimal hedging | |
| |
| |
| |
Theories of futures prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Manipulation of futures markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Futures investment as portfolio selection | |
| |
| |
| |
Derivation of h | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Futures markets III: applications | |
| |
| |
| |
Weather futures | |
| |
| |
| |
Financial futures contracts | |
| |
| |
| |
Short-term interest rate futures | |
| |
| |
| |
Long-term interest rate, or bond, futures | |
| |
| |
| |
Stock index futures | |
| |
| |
| |
The fall of Barings Bank | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Swap contracts and swap markets | |
| |
| |
| |
Swap agreements: the fundamentals | |
| |
| |
| |
Why do swaps occur? | |
| |
| |
| |
Risks associated with swaps | |
| |
| |
| |
Valuation of swaps | |
| |
| |
| |
Metallgesellschaft: a case study | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Options markets I: fundamentals | |
| |
| |
| |
Call options and put options | |
| |
| |
| |
Varieties of options | |
| |
| |
| |
Option-like assets | |
| |
| |
| |
Upper and lower bounds for option prices | |
| |
| |
| |
Put-call parity for European options | |
| |
| |
| |
The Modigliani-Miller theorem | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Lower bound for a European call option premium | |
| |
| |
| |
Lower bound for a European put option premium | |
| |
| |
| |
Put-call parity for European options | |
| |
| |
| |
The Modigliani-Miller theorem: a proof | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Options markets II: price determination | |
| |
| |
| |
The fundamentals of option price models | |
| |
| |
| |
A two-state option-pricing model | |
| |
| |
| |
The Black-Scholes model | |
| |
| |
| |
Contingent claims analysis | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
| |
Options markets III: applications | |
| |
| |
| |
Stock index options | |
| |
| |
| |
Options on futures contracts | |
| |
| |
| |
Interest rate options | |
| |
| |
| |
Options and portfolio risks | |
| |
| |
| |
Portfolio insurance | |
| |
| |
| |
Combinations and spreads | |
| |
| |
| |
Summary | |
| |
| |
| |
Put-call parity for European options on futures | |
| |
| |
References | |
| |
| |
Subject index | |