Poverty of Historicism

ISBN-10: 0415278465
ISBN-13: 9780415278461
Edition: 2nd 2002 (Revised)
Authors: Karl R. Popper
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Description: On its publication in 1957, The Poverty of Historicism was hailed by Arthur Koestler as 'probably the only book published this year which will outlive the century'.A devastating criticism of fixed and predictable laws in history, Popper dedicated  More...

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Book details

List price: $20.95
Edition: 2nd
Copyright year: 2002
Publisher: Routledge
Publication date: 3/29/2002
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 176
Size: 5.00" wide x 7.50" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 1.210
Language: English

On its publication in 1957, The Poverty of Historicism was hailed by Arthur Koestler as 'probably the only book published this year which will outlive the century'.A devastating criticism of fixed and predictable laws in history, Popper dedicated the book to all those 'who fell victim to the fascist and communist belief in Inexorable Laws of Historical Destiny'. Short and beautifully written, it has inspired generations of readers, intellectuals and policy makers. One of the most important books on the social sciences since the Second World War, it is a searing insight into the ideas of this great thinker.

Karl Popper (1902-94). Philosopher, born in Vienna. One of the most influential and controversial thinkers of the twentieth century.Jeremy Shearmur is Reader in Philosophy at the Australian National University

Historical Note
Preface
Introduction
The Anti-Naturalistic Doctrines of Historicism
Generalization
Experiment
Novelty
Complexity
Inexactitude of Prediction
Objectivity and Valuation
Holism
Intuitive Understanding
Quantitative Methods
Essentialism versus Nominalism
The Pro-Naturalistic Doctrines of Historicism
Comparison with Astronomy. Long-Term Forecasts and Large-Scale Forecasts
The Observational Basis
Social Dynamics
Historical Laws
Historical Prophecy versus Social Engineering
The Theory of Historical Development
Interpreting versus Planning Social Change
Conclusion of the Analysis
Criticism of the Anti-Naturalistic Doctrines
Practical Aims of this Criticism
The Technological Approach to Sociology
Piecemeal versus Utopian Engineering
The Unholy Alliance with Utopianism
Criticism of Holism
The Holistic Theory of Social Experiments
The Variability of Experimental Conditions
Are Generalizations Confined to Periods?
Criticism of the Pro-Naturalistic Doctrines
Is there a Law of Evolution? Laws and Trends
The Method of Reduction. Causal Explanation. Prediction and Prophecy
The Unity of Method
Theoretical and Historical Sciences
Situational Logic in History. Historical Interpretation
The Institutional Theory of Progress
Conclusion: The Emotional Appeal of Historicism
Index

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