Struck by Lightning The Curious World of Probabilities

ISBN-10: 0309097347
ISBN-13: 9780309097345
Edition: 2006
List price: $24.95 Buy it from $4.99
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Description: Human beings have long been both fascinated and appalled by randomness. On the one hand, we love the thrill of a surprise party, the unpredictability of a budding romance, or the freedom of not knowing what tomorrow will bring. But we also hate  More...

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Book details

List price: $24.95
Copyright year: 2006
Publisher: National Academies Press
Publication date: 4/28/2006
Binding: Paperback
Pages: 270
Size: 5.25" wide x 7.75" long x 0.75" tall
Weight: 0.946
Language: English

Human beings have long been both fascinated and appalled by randomness. On the one hand, we love the thrill of a surprise party, the unpredictability of a budding romance, or the freedom of not knowing what tomorrow will bring. But we also hate uncertainty's dark side. Terrorists attack, diseases strike, accidents happen, and we never know if we'll be that one in a million statistic.

Surrounded by Randomness: Probabilities Everywhere
What Are the Odds of That? Coincidence and Surprise
Laying Down the Law: Why Casinos Always Win
Dealing the Cards: Bridge, Poker, and Blackjack
Murder Most Foul: Measuring Trends
Utility Functions: How to Make Decisions
White Lab Coats: What Studies Do and Don't Show
Ain't Gonna Happen: Very Low Probabilities
Interlude: The Case of the Collapsing Casino
Fifty-one Percent to Forty-nine Percent: The True Meaning of Polls
Nineteen Times Out of Twenty: Margins of Error
Randomness to the Rescue: When Uncertainty Is Your Friend
Evolution, Genes, and Viruses: Randomness in Biology
That Wily Monty Hall: Finding Probabilities from Clues
Spam, Spam, Probability, and Spam: Blocking Unwanted E-mail
Ignorance, Chaos, and Quantum Mechanics: Causes of Randomness
Final Exam: Do You Have Probability Perspective?
Acknowledgments
About the Author
Index

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