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Preface | |
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The Conceptual Nexus | |
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National Security for a New and Changing Era | |
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Sources of Change | |
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The International Dimension | |
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The Domestic Dimension | |
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Why Entitlement and Defense Cuts? | |
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The Intermestic Intersection | |
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Challenge! Is a Reduced Commitment to National Security Acceptable? | |
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Conclusions: The Way Forward | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Concepts and Logic of National Security | |
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Thinking about Security | |
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Military and Nonmilitary Elements of Security | |
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Levels of Security | |
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Risk and Risk Management | |
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What Should the United States Do About North Korea? | |
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Thinking About Interests | |
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Levels of Interest | |
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Vital and Less-Than-Vital Interests and Afghanistan | |
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Security and Interests in the Contemporary Environment | |
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Power and the Instruments of Power | |
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Power | |
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Instruments of Power | |
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Power and Security | |
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The Realist Paradigm | |
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Basic Concepts and Relationships | |
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Paradigm Implications | |
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Critiques and Anomalies of the Realist Paradigm | |
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Challenge! The Realist Paradigm and Contemporary American Politics | |
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Conclusions: Realism and the Realist Paradigm | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Historical Context | |
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Influences from the Past: The American Historical Experience | |
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Conditioning Factors in the American Tradition | |
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American Ahistoricism | |
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Accident of Geography | |
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Dealing with Dependence on Persian Gulf Oil | |
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The Anglo-Saxon Heritage | |
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Evolution of the American Experience | |
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The Formative Period, 1789-1945 | |
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Antimilitary Bias | |
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The Citizen-Soldier | |
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The Myth of Invincibility | |
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Mobilization and Demobilization | |
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Readiness and Pearl Harbor | |
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Total War Preference | |
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The Cold War, 1945-1989 | |
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The Role of the Media | |
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The Impact of Democratic Institutions | |
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Professionalism in the Military | |
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Challenge! Military Future Force Challenges in a Constrained World | |
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Conclusion: The Contemporary Period, 1989 to Present | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Post-1945 Challenge: The Nature and End of the Cold War | |
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The Cold War System | |
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Characteristics | |
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Better Red than Dead? Better Dead than Red? | |
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Sources of Change | |
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Forms of Military Competition | |
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Conventional Forces | |
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Nuclear Forces | |
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The Capitalist Bomb | |
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Deadlock of the Competition | |
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The Economic Dimension | |
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The Military Dimension | |
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Convergence | |
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Cold War Residues | |
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Russian Evolution | |
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Russian Resurgence | |
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Challenge! What Kind of Russia? | |
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Conclusions: The Legacy End of the Cold War | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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Moving to the Present: The Post-Cold War World | |
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The First Fault Line: The World After the Cold War | |
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Undeniable Benefits | |
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The End of the Cold War and the U.S. Military | |
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Debatable Changes | |
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The Second Fault Line: The World After September 11 | |
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The Rules of War: Who Is a ROW? | |
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Toward the New International System? | |
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Paradigm Choices | |
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The American Role in the New World System | |
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The Post-9/11 Era? | |
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Conclusion: The Continuing Role of Force | |
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Challenge! Military Responses to Iran? | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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Intermestic Environments and Change | |
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The Domestic Environment | |
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Extremism in the Defense of Liberty? | |
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The Historical Domestic Context | |
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The Structure of Domestic Politics | |
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The Executive Branch | |
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The President, the Constitution, and National Security | |
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The Interagency Process | |
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The Congress | |
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The Congress, the Constitution, and National Security | |
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The Committee System | |
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Challenges to Committee Dominance | |
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Institutional Responses to National Security Challenges: War Powers and Homeland Security | |
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The Problem of War Powers | |
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The Context of the WPR of October 1973 | |
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Content of the WPR | |
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Status of the WPR | |
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Homeland Security | |
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Challenge! The United States in Libya | |
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Background and Evolution of the Problem | |
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The Homeland Security Response to September 11 | |
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Ongoing Problems and Controversies | |
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Conclusion: The Contemporary Environment | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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Domestic Battlegrounds and National Security | |
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The Political Battleground | |
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The Predictable Failure of the Super Committee | |
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The National Security Entrapment | |
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National Security and Domestic Politics | |
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Defense Budgeting | |
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The Erosion of National Security Sanctity | |
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Parameters of the Budget Deficit Debate | |
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Estimating Budget Deficits and Trends | |
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The Impact on National Security | |
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Likely Areas of Reductions | |
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The Washington Monument Ploy | |
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National Security Benefits and Costs | |
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Challenge! Thinking About Loss Allocation | |
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Conclusions: An Ongoing Debate | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Phenomenon and Impact of Globalization | |
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The Bretton Woods System, 1945-1971 | |
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The Bretton Woods Institutions | |
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Amplification 8.1 The ITO and the Antifree Traders | |
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The Breakdown of Bretton Woods | |
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The Transitional Period, 1971-1990 | |
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American Decline | |
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American Revival | |
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The Globalizing Economy, 1990-Present | |
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Characteristics and Values | |
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Objections to Globalization | |
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The Rejectionists | |
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New Additions to the National Security Agenda | |
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Conclusion: Globalization and Other Factors in American Security | |
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Challenge! Rare Earth Elements and National Security | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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"Legacy" Military Problems | |
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Nuclear Forces and Deterrence | |
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Seminal Events of the Nuclear Age | |
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Theories of Deterrence | |
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Nuclear Residues | |
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Iranian Proliferation and Israel | |
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Traditional Forces and the Future | |
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The Heavy Forces (Conventional) Model | |
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The Light Forces (Unconventional) Model | |
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Light Forces, Heavy Forces, or Both? | |
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Affording Heavy Forces: Relevance and Cost Overruns | |
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Traditional Residues | |
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Military Manpower | |
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Challenge! Military Service After Iraq and Afghanistan | |
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Military Reform | |
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Conclusion: The Continuing Relevance of Traditional Forces | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Contemporary Environment and Challenges | |
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Residues of 9/11: Terrorism, Iraq, and Afghanistan | |
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The Direct Terrorism Response | |
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Why Terror? | |
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Terrorism as Crime or War | |
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Dealing with Terror | |
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The War in Afghanistan | |
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Justification of the War | |
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Validity of the Objective | |
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Lessons of Afghanistan | |
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Afghanistan Options | |
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The Iraq War | |
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Justifications of the War | |
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Validity of the Objective | |
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Lessons of Iraq | |
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Challenge1. What if Iraq "Goes South"? | |
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Conclusions: Conditioning the Future | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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International Change: Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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The Context of Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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Sun Tzu on Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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The End of the Cold War | |
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The United States as Hyperpower | |
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September 11 and the Shift in Violent Activity | |
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The Dynamics of Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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Defining Symmetrical and Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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The Lure of Asymmetrical Warfare | |
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Asymmetrical Models: Mobile-Guerrilla Warfare | |
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Asymmetrical Futures? | |
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The Political Legacy: Be Careful Where You Intervene | |
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The Military Legacy: Preparing for Asymmetrical Foes | |
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Challenge! The Asymmetrical Warfare Element in Planning | |
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Conclusions: Asymmetry and the Future | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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The Menu of Activism: Peacekeeping, State Building, and Development | |
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Peacekeeping | |
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The Dynamics of Peacekeeping | |
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The Talk-Shoot Dilemma in PE | |
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Peacekeeping and the Future | |
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Development and State Building | |
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The Rationale and Evolution of Development | |
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Impediments to Development | |
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Challenge! Establishing Developmental Priorities | |
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State Building | |
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Peacekeeping, Development, and State Building in Afghanistan | |
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Conclusions: The Complexity of Postwar Peace | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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New Dimensions and Approaches | |
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Border Security | |
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The Physical Problem | |
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Border Threats | |
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An Impenetrable Border? | |
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Natural Resources Security | |
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Petroleum Energy Security | |
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Challenge! National Security and the Price of Gas | |
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Environmental Security | |
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Global Warming | |
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The United States, Kyoto, and Copenhagen | |
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Hurricane Katrina | |
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Conclusion: Expanded Security Horizons | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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Looking Ahead | |
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Exploring the Future | |
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Variables in the Environment | |
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The Fall of the Shah and Al Qaeda | |
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Challenge! Contemporary Worst Cases? | |
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Policies and Effects | |
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National Security Policy Models | |
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U.S. Activism and Iranian Nuclear Weapons | |
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Conclusions: Assessing the Future | |
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Study/Discussion Questions | |
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Selected Bibliography | |
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Index | |