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List of Figures | |
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List of Tables | |
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Foreword | |
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Preface | |
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Introduction | |
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The Context | |
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The Constitutional Framework | |
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Congressional Districts | |
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Partisan Gerrymandering | |
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Redistricting Between Censuses | |
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Racial Gerrymandering | |
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The Republican Advantage in House Districts | |
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States as Electoral Units | |
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Election Laws | |
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Political Parties | |
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Social and Political Contexts | |
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Conclusion | |
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Notes | |
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Congressional Candidates | |
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The Incumbency Factor | |
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Measuring the Value of Incumbency | |
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The Vanishing Marginals | |
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Sources of the Incumbency Advantage | |
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The Institutional Characteristics of Congress | |
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Changes in Voting Behavior | |
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Constituency Service | |
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The Variability of the Incumbency Advantage | |
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Discouraging the Opposition | |
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Money in Congressional Elections | |
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The Connection between Money and Success | |
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Why Campaign Money Is More Important to Challengers than to Incumbents | |
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The Career in the District | |
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Motivating Challengers | |
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Notes | |
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Congressional Campaigns | |
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Campaign Money | |
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Contributions to Candidates | |
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PACs | |
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Party Money | |
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Contributions from Other Members of Congress | |
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Self-Financing by Candidates | |
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Fundraising Tactics | |
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Independent, "Voter Education," and "Issue Advocacy" Campaigns | |
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Campaign Organizations | |
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Campaign Strategies | |
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Campaign Media | |
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Personal Campaigning | |
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Campaign Messages | |
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Challengers' Campaigns | |
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Going Negative | |
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Incumbents' Campaigns | |
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Candidates for Open Seats | |
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Senate Campaigns | |
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Manipulating Turnout | |
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Concluding Observations | |
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Notes | |
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Congressional Voters | |
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Turnout in Congressional Elections | |
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Who Votes? | |
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Partisanship in Congressional Elections | |
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Alternative Interpretations of Party Identification | |
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Partisanship and Voting | |
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Information and Voting | |
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Recall and Recognition of Candidates | |
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Contacting Voters | |
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The Effects of Campaign Spending | |
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Models of Voting Behavior | |
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Evaluating Incumbents | |
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Winning Challengers | |
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Issues in Congressional Elections | |
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Notes | |
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National Politics and Congressional Elections | |
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Political Interpretations of Congressional Elections | |
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Models of Aggregate Congressional Election Results | |
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Presidential Coattails | |
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National Conditions and Strategic Politics | |
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Campaign Themes | |
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House Elections, 1992-2006 | |
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1992 | |
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1994 | |
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The Clinton Problem | |
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Nationalizing the Vote | |
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1996 | |
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The Campaigns | |
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1998 | |
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The Scandal and the Campaigns | |
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2000 | |
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2002 | |
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The Economy | |
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Exposure and Redistricting | |
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2004 | |
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2006 | |
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Strategic Politicians in 2006 | |
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Conclusion: House Election Patterns, 1980-2006 | |
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Senate Elections, 1980-2006 | |
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2002-2006 | |
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Maintaining the Balance | |
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Notes | |
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Elections, Representation, and the Politics of Congress | |
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Representation | |
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Policy Congruence | |
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Interests and Causes | |
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Representation by Referendum | |
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Descriptive Representation | |
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Policy Consequences | |
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Particularism | |
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Serving the Organized | |
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Responsiveness without Responsibility | |
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The Congressional Parties: Decline and Revival | |
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The Revival of Party Cohesion, 1980-2006 | |
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Ideological Polarization in Congress and the Electorate | |
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Polarization in Presidential Support | |
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Party Polarization: The Electoral Connection | |
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Diverging Electoral Constituencies | |
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Chicken or Egg? | |
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Party Polarization and the Politics of Impeachment | |
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Representing Polarized Opinions on the Iraq War after 2006 | |
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Reforming Congress | |
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Term Limits | |
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The Public's Evaluations of Congress | |
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2008 and Beyond: A Matter of Geography | |
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Notes | |
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Bibliography | |
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Index | |