Business Dynamics Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World

Name: Business Dynamics Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World
Price: 31.98 USD
Availability: InStock
ISBN: 9780072389159

ISBN-10: 007238915X

ISBN-13: 9780072389159

Edition: 2000

Authors: John D. Sterman

List price: $260.35

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Book details

List price: $260.35
Copyright year: 2000
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
Publication date: 2/23/2000
Binding: Digital, Other
Size: 8.25" wide x 10.00" long x 1.75" tall
Weight: 5.016
Language: English



Introduction



Perspective and Process



Learning In and About Complex Systems



System Dynamics In Action



The Modeling Process



Structure and Behavior of Dynamic Systems



Tools for Systems Thinking



Causal Loop Diagrams



Stocks and Flows



Dynamics of Stocks and Flows



Closing the Loop: Dynamics of Simple Structures



The Dynamics of Growth



S-Shaped Growth: Epidemics, Innovation Diffusion, and the Growth of New Products



Path Dependence and Positive Feedback



Tools for Modeling Dynamic Systems



Delays



Coflows and Aging Chains



Modeling Decision Making



Forming Non-linear Relationships



Instability and Oscillation



Modeling Human Behavior: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?



Forecasts and Fudge Factors: Modeling Expectation Formation



Supply Chains and the Origin of Oscillations



Managing Supply Chains in Manufacturing



The Labor Supply Chain and the Origin of Business Cycles



The Invisible Hand Sometimes Shakes: Commodity Cycles



Validation and Model Testing



Truth and Beauty



Commencement



Challenges for the Future



Numerical Integration



Noise


References


Index